3/4 last week – I’ll take it! This week could be a big seperation week for some teams, once again a lot of important games for those that have post-season hopes!
UNC @ Weber – In the past, this would have the makings of a blow-out, however UNC is looking strong this year, after a string of heart-breaking losses UNC beat up on a hapless ISU, holding their offense to just 26 rushing yards and a little under 240 passing. UNC grabbed 4 interceptions and 1 fumble, wow! Meanwhile Weber is riding high and in the driver’s seat right now to win the conference after two huge victories in a row, beating UM and MSU. Can UNC’s defense containg Trevyn Smith? Or will Weber just keep firing away? I think that after two big emotional wins Weber’s going to slip up a little, but not enough to lose to a UNC team that has just 3 conference wins in 3 seasons with the Big Sky, Weber wins it 28-23.
NAU @ ISU – Unfortunately ISU will probably not get their first win of the season against an NAU team that looked much better over the last couple of weeks beating up on both Sac St (who was playing their 3rd string QB) and PSU. ISU statistically has a good passing offense (285 per game) but cannot run the ball at all. NAU’s rush defense allows 7 ypg on average, crazy! However their pass D is allowing near 300 yards per game. I think that ISU comes out firing, however they cannot keep up with a powerful NAU team, and the Lumberjacks pull away in the 2nd half, winning 38-20.
EWU @ MSU – Both teams in an absolute must win game. With 2 conference losses EWU is on the outside of getting a conference win, especially with a loss to Montana on the books. If they win out, they’ll only have 6 wins against D1 schools, so it would appear unless there’s a lot more parity across the FCS and in the conference EWU could be done. Meanwile MSU doesn’t want to slip into the same spot as EWU having two conference losses. The Bobcats last week gave up 349 passing to the front-runner for conference MVP – Cam Higgins. MSU’s offense has not been stellar this year, they netted 306 total against Weber, so Higgins out-gained the entire MSU offense in that game. EWU’s offense fell flat on it’s face last week. If EWU wants to win this game they have to play better offense, their WRs can’t shy away from hits and have to cut out the drops. MSU probably built their game-plan from watching the UM/EWU matchup, the Bobcats have one of the best RBs in the conference, and I expect they’ll use Crawford heavily. Another factor that could be in EWU’s favor is the weather – 60 degrees, sunny and little to no wind. In a game that the cats try to slow down, I say EWU find their stride passing once again and wins 31-21.
BTW – on yahoo sports here’s their “logo” for the cats, must be some sort of slip-up.
CSUS @ UM – Sac St comes in rested, with their main QB Jason Smith back at the helm, Smith has yet to throw an interception this year! Also returning is RB Bryan Hilliard, who had a good game against the Grizzlies last year with 83 yards on the ground. Sac has the leauge’s leading WR Tony Washington, who has a leauge-best 116.7 ypg which puts him 3rd in the nation as well. With a week off, Sac will be ready to go, aiming for their first win in Wa Griz I believe. Meanwhile the Grizzlies are looking much improved from their loss at Weber State with a strong victory against EWU. The Hornets passing attack will be potent, and the matchup of Washington vs TJ will be interesting to watch. With the Griz D playing mean right now, I say the Griz win this game, and allow some junk points for Sac in the end – Griz win 34-24.