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2010/11 Schedule

SDHornet

SDHornet

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Anyone have any ideas or hear any rumors as to who Katz is going to schedule this upcoming season? Anyone know when the schedule will be released? :?:
 
Super Hornet said:
I'll bet a dollar to a doughnut it'll include William Jessup and UOP.
Click to expand...
I'm ok with those match ups. I'm more interested to see what Pac 12/WCC/MWC schools are scheduled (if any).
 
Wow. OK, but no UOP. Looks like a tough schedule. That trip to McNeese will be tough travel-wise.

I'm surprised we're in the BracketBuster.

What we SHOULD get for that is a CAA team. What we'll PROBABLY get is UOP.
 
Not a bad lineup, there are some things I like and don’t like about it. I’m not a fan of all the travel east this schedule contains but I like that these teams are on or near the level of competition the Hornets find themselves in right now. The away games at programs that are struggling will hopefully get the Hornets out of the funk of struggling on the road. I also would have liked to see either Bethany or Jessop but not both. Maybe there is a contract with those schools but I would think they could have gotten a Big West team to make the trip to the Nest. (Northridge?)

School: 2009/10 record (conference record), conference
Vs. CSU Bakersfield: 7-22 (N/A), Independent
Vs. Bethany: non D-1
@ North Dakota: 8-23 (N/A), Independent
Vs. “the farm extension”: 14-18 (8-8), Big West
Vs. Cal Poly: 12-19 (7-9), Big West
@ Washington State: 16-15 (6-12), Pac 12
@ Utah Valley: 12-18 (N/A), Independent
@ LMU: 18-16 (7-7), WCC
Vs. Jessup: non D-1
@ McNeese State: 10-20 (5-11), Southland
@ Oklahoma: 13-18 (4-12), Big 12


I was hoping a Wyoming or Air Force (for a payday) game could have been scheduled as it’s in the same region as UNC and would have resulted in a slightly less grueling travel schedule for that given weekend. (Assuming they would have had an open day on the weekend of the game at UNC.) That leaves LMU as a lone game in SoCal which begs the question if another SoCal team was looked at (Riverside, Northridge, Irvine, San Diego, Pepperdine?). I would think the coaches could use a SoCal weekend trip as a reason to get in some regional recruiting done (and give me the possibility of going to see a game). The Cal Poly game should keep SloStang happy. Also with these schools on the schedule, that’s only 28 games so there is room to add one or two more games if there is anyone out there Katz wants to try and play.

I’ll make a prediction and breakdown as the season gets closer.
 
After an insanely good predictions record last season (with picks made in September!), I'll give it another try... I think this will be a 10-win team, but I don't think my predictions will be nearly as good as last year for the simple fact that this will be an improved team, and could be very dangerous.


11/5/2010 MENLO -W

11/14/2010 # CAL STATE BAKERSFIELD - W

11/16/2010 BETHANY - W

11/19/2010 at North Dakota - L

11/23/2010 UC DAVIS - W

11/27/2010 CAL POLY - W (YES, this team will start off 4-1!)

11/30/2010 at Washington State - L

12/4/2010 at Utah Valley - L

12/7/2010 at Loyola Marymount - L

12/10/2010 WILLIAM JESSUP - W

12/19/2010 at McNeese State - L

12/21/2010 at Oklahoma - L

12/29/2010 * at Eastern Washington - L

12/31/2010 * at Idaho State - L

1/6/2011 * MONTANA STATE - W

1/8/2011 * MONTANA - L

1/13/2011 * at Weber State - L

1/15/2011 * at Northern Arizona - L

1/20/2011 * NORTHERN COLORADO - L

1/22/2011 * EASTERN WASHINGTON - W

1/27/2011 * IDAHO STATE - W

1/29/2011 * at Portland State - W

2/3/2011 * PORTLAND STATE - W

2/10/2011 * at Montana - L

2/12/2011 * at Montana State - L

2/19/2011 % at TBA (ESPN BracketBusters)

2/24/2011 * NORTHERN ARIZONA - L

2/26/2011 * WEBER STATE - L

3/2/2011 * at Northern Colorado - L
 
Ok, here’s my predictions:

MENLO - W
CAL STATE BAKERSFIELD - W
BETHANY - W
at North Dakota - W
UC DAVIS - W by a big margin
CAL POLY - W
at Washington State - L
at Utah Valley - W
at Loyola Marymount - L
WILLIAM JESSUP - W
at McNeese State - L
at Oklahoma - L
*at Eastern Washington - L
*at Idaho State - W
*MONTANA STATE - W
*MONTANA - W
*at Weber State - L
*at Northern Arizona - L
*NORTHERN COLORADO - L
*EASTERN WASHINGTON - L
*IDAHO STATE - W
*at Portland State - L
*PORTLAND STATE - L
*at Montana - L
*at Montana State - L
*NORTHERN ARIZONA - W
*WEBER STATE - L
at Northern Colorado - L

Record: 13-15 (5-11)

Lots of improvement, still a lot more improvement to make.

We’ll have a good OOC run, but I think we will struggle in the Big Sky. I think for all the heat Katz got when he was hired, he did a great job silencing many of us with the improvement shown last season. He brought in some height, and will be playing more guys he recruited who may fit into his system better. I think we improve further, but are still not a tournament team (Sky tournament). Maybe in a few years.
 
I'm going to be a whole lot more myopic because I have faith in Katz. I'm still going to claim splits with the Griz and the Barbecues, though. I do think we'll have probs with Cow Poly. Unless someone has evidence to the contrary, I'm going to consider the first three to be exhibitions given Menlo's D-III status and Bethany's presence in NAIA.

20-5, #2 or #3 in Sky Tournament

MENLO - W
CAL STATE BAKERSFIELD - W
BETHANY - W
at North Dakota - W
UC DAVIS - W
CAL POLY - L
at Washington State - L
at Utah Valley - W
at Loyola Marymount - W
WILLIAM JESSUP - W
at McNeese State - W
at Oklahoma - L
*at Eastern Washington - W
*at Idaho State - W
*MONTANA STATE - W
*MONTANA - W
*at Weber State - L
*at Northern Arizona - W
*NORTHERN COLORADO - W
*EASTERN WASHINGTON - W
*IDAHO STATE - W
*at Portland State - W
*PORTLAND STATE - W
*at Montana - L
*at Montana State - W
*NORTHERN ARIZONA - W
*WEBER STATE - W
at Northern Colorado - W
 
Here are my predictions:

  • • 11/5/10 – Menlo – This is an exhibition and obviously it won’t count towards the record, but the Hornets will win.
    • 11/14/10 – vs. CSU Bakersfield- Hornets win. Bakersfield loses 2 of its top three leading scorers from a team that only won 7 games last season. Record: 1-0, (0-0)
    • 11/16/10 – vs. Bethany – Hornets should dominate this game against a non-D1 opponent. Record: 2-0, (0-0)
    • 11/19/10 - @ North Dakota –This is a tough one. UND loses 2 of its top three leading scorers from a team that only won 8 games last season. My only concern is how Katz prepares this team and maintains their focus on the long trip. I have this as a win. Record: 3-0, (0-0)
    • 11/23/10 – vs. “the farm extension” – After last season’s “upset” I don’t know how anyone goes against the men in green for this one. Katz hasn’t lost to them yet and I don’t anticipate him to lose this game this season. Combine that with the turmoil that is surrounding Gary Stewart and his program and you have a recipe for another Hornet face stomping of the phaggies when they come to the Nest. Record: 4-0, (0-0)
    • 11/27/10 – vs. Cal Poly – Another tough game to call. Cal Poly lost their leading scorer Keeler but they were a middle of the road team last season and return three players who average double digits in points per game. I am hoping home court advantage will be enough to sway this one in the Hornets favor as well as me just making a complete homer pick. Record: 5-0, (0-0)
    • 11/30/10 - @ Washington State – WSU return all three of their top scorers. Hornets lose this one big. Record: 5-1, (0-0)
    • 12/4/10 - @ Utah Valley – UVU loses their top scorer but return two others who averaged double digit points per game. This is a tough matchup following a Pac-12 team. This is a winnable game but I am going with a Hornet loss. Record: 5-2, (0-0)
    • 12/7/10 - @ LMU – LMU returns all four of their top scorers who all averaged double digits per game. Hornets lost last season to the same group at home and the outcome should be no different especially at their place. Record: 5-3, (0-0)
    • 12/10/10 – vs. William Jessup - Hornets should dominate this game against a non-D1 opponent. Record: 6-3, (0-0)
    • 12/19/10 - @ McNeese State – McNeese returns two of their top 3 scorers. McNeese had a similar record as the Hornets last season and like my UND pick, it depends on how the travel will affect the Hornets. I am hoping for the best and going with a Hornet win. Record: 7-3, (0-0)
    • 12/21/10 - @ Oklahoma – The Sooners return 3 of their top four scorers as well as some young talent. Hornets lose big. Record: 7-4, (0-0)
    • 12/29/10 - @ EWU – EWU has some good young talent but lose their big forward Dunn. If the Hornets can slow down Dean and Forbes on the perimeter and attack the glass and control the paint they can pull this one out. However I think the Hornets split this series and win the home matchup. Record: 7-5, (0-1)
    • 12/31/10 - @ ISU – Katz and the Hornets took the season series last season and that was with a senior laden Bengal team. I am going with another two wins over the Bengals again this season. Record: 8-5, (1-1)
    • 1/6/11 - vs. MSU – MSU squeaked by the Hornet at the Nest last season and a split of this series is possible. Add the fact that MSU lost Navarre (G) and Johnson (F) but return Rush (G) and Howard (F) and the Hornets can win this one at home if they play well. I am going with a Hornet win. Record: 8-6, (1-2)
    • 1/8/11 – vs. Montana – Montana loses their magic money man Johnson (G) but returns their big man Qvale (C) and Cherry (G) who showed tremendous potential last season. This team is beatable and the Hornet should have split the series last season. However I just don’t see anyone matching up with Qvale with Eller gone and I think they sweep the series. Record: 8-7, (1-3)
    • 1/13/11 - @ WSU – The Wildcats return Lillard (G) and I believe Session (G-F) returns as well. WSU has managed to crank out solid teams year in and year out and I don’t think this season will be an exception. Hornets lose both games to WSU. Record: 8-8, (1-4)
    • 1/15/11 - @ NAU – The Lumberjack’s won just as much as they lost last year and returns everyone. The Hornets did keep it close at the Nest but this team should be much improved this season and they could sweep the series. Record: 8-9, (1-5)
    • 1/20/11 – vs. UNC – The Bears came out of nowhere last season and surprised everyone. However their coach was hired away to a more prestigious position and they lost their leading scorer Figures (G). I think the Bears come back down to Earth this season and steal a win at the Nest. Record: 9-9, (2-5)
    • 1/22/11 – vs. EWU – Hornets win. Record: 10-9, (3-5)
    • 1/27/11 – vs. ISU – Hornets win. Record: 11-9, (4-5)
    • 1/29/11 - @ PSU – The Vikings lost a lot and were slammed with NCAA sanctions this offseason. I am hoping the Hornets can capitalize with the loss of Waters (G), J Jones (F) and Thomas (F) and with the added turmoil are able to sweep the series. Record: 12-9, (5-5)
    • 2/3/11 – vs. PSU – Hornets win. Record: 13-9, (6-5)
    • 2/10/11 - @ Montana – Hornets lose. Record: 13-10, (6-6)
    • 2/12/11 - @ MSU – Hornets lose. Record: 13-11, (6-7)
    • 2/19/11 – ESPN BracketBuster- No idea. It all depends on who they are matched up with.
    • 2/24/11 – vs. NAU – Hornets lose. Record: 13-12, (6-8)
    • 2/26/11 – vs. WSU – Hornets lose. Record: 13-13, (6-9)
    • 3/2/11 - @ UNC – Hornets lose. Record: 13-14, (6-10)

So all in all I have the Hornets going 13-14 and 6-10 in the Big Sky and possibly in contention for a low seed in the BSC tournament. I have an optimistic view for the season and made quite a few homer picks. I think Katz did a good job at scheduling winnable games this season and I am definitely hoping the Hornets aren’t affected by the travel as much this season as they traditionally have been. I am hoping Katz and this team can come somewhere in the neighborhood of 500.
 
Super Hornet said:
So Bako's been D-I long enough to count?

And why is an NAIA game a counter?
Click to expand...
Bakersfield is officialy D-1 this year. Can't think of a better present to give them than a big fat loss.
 
Kadeezy said:
After an insanely good predictions record last season (with picks made in September!), I'll give it another try... I think this will be a 10-win team, but I don't think my predictions will be nearly as good as last year for the simple fact that this will be an improved team, and could be very dangerous.


11/5/2010 MENLO -W

11/14/2010 # CAL STATE BAKERSFIELD - W

11/16/2010 BETHANY - W

11/19/2010 at North Dakota - L

11/23/2010 UC DAVIS - W

11/27/2010 CAL POLY - W (YES, this team will start off 4-1!)

11/30/2010 at Washington State - L

12/4/2010 at Utah Valley - L

12/7/2010 at Loyola Marymount - L

12/10/2010 WILLIAM JESSUP - W

12/19/2010 at McNeese State - L

12/21/2010 at Oklahoma - L

12/29/2010 * at Eastern Washington - L

12/31/2010 * at Idaho State - L

1/6/2011 * MONTANA STATE - W

1/8/2011 * MONTANA - L

1/13/2011 * at Weber State - L

1/15/2011 * at Northern Arizona - L

1/20/2011 * NORTHERN COLORADO - L

1/22/2011 * EASTERN WASHINGTON - W

1/27/2011 * IDAHO STATE - W

1/29/2011 * at Portland State - W

2/3/2011 * PORTLAND STATE - W

2/10/2011 * at Montana - L

2/12/2011 * at Montana State - L

2/19/2011 % at TBA (ESPN BracketBusters)

2/24/2011 * NORTHERN ARIZONA - L

2/26/2011 * WEBER STATE - L

3/2/2011 * at Northern Colorado - L
Click to expand...

15 for 18 thus far (includes exhibition), missing on the CSUSB/UC Davis/MSU Home Losses...
 
My 500 optimism was obliterated and my predictions weren’t even close. The Hornets need to find a way to at least get a couple wins the rest of the way to at least have something positive heading into the offseason. It’s hard to believe this season is going to be comparable to Katz’ first season here. :oops: :?
 
17/21... Implosion at PSU...

I would like to ammend the prognostication with a predicted loss at SEMO St. for the BB game...
 
Kadeezy said:
17/21... Implosion at PSU...

I would like to ammend the prognostication with a predicted loss at SEMO St. for the BB game...
Click to expand...

This game not withstanding, you should open up your own Vegas-style sports prognostication website. You're VERY good.
 
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