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Big Sky Champion and Auto Bid

S

SWeberCat02

Active member
Standings through games of 11/3

1. UC Davis 6-0
t2. E Wash 5-1
t2. Idaho St 5-1
t2. Weber St 5-1
All other teams eliminated

Games remaining

UC Davis
@ E Wash (5-1)
Sac St (0-6)

E Wash
UC Davis (6-0)
@ Portland St (3-3)

Idaho St
@ Cal Poly (2-4)
Weber St (5-1)

Weber St
@ S Utah (1-5)
@ Idaho St (5-1)

As we know, the conference considers all teams in 1st place as co-champions. E Wash has the most difficult remaining schedule (based on opponent's records), then ISU, then Weber, then Davis. Davis, EWU, and ISU each have 1 home game and 1 road game remaining. Weber has 0 home games and 2 road games remaining.

Tie breakers are only for the Playoff Auto-Bid. They are as follows:

1. Head-to Head Competition (In event of a three or four team tie, the auto bid will be awarded to the team with the best record against the other tied teams, regardless if all have played each other)
Davis plays EWU 11/10, beat ISU, and does not play Weber
EWU plays Davis 11/10, does not play ISU, and lost to Weber
ISU lost to Davis, does not play EWU, and plays Weber 11/17
Weber does not play Davis, plays ISU 11/17, and beat EWU

2. Record Against Common Conference Opponents In Descending Order

3. Record Against Common Non-Conference Opponents

4. Sagarin Rating

5. Coin Flip

Weber needs help to secure the auto bid. They need Davis to lose this Sat at E Wash, something that is very possible. I don't expect Davis to lose to Sac St, so worst we can expect Davis to finish is 7-1. Weber will need to win out to finish 7-1. Weber winning out would eliminate ISU from Championship and Auto-Bid contention. If Weber and EWU win out we will probably have a three way tie between Davis, EWU, and Weber, all at 7-1. In that scenario, Davis would be 0-1 vs the tied teams, EWU would be 1-1 vs the tied teams, and Weber would be 1-0 vs the tied teams, giving Weber the tiebreaker and the Auto-Bid. Go Weber, and Go Eagles this Saturday!
 
Still gotta get it done @SUU and @ISU but @NAU really hurts. Maybe EWU helps out Weber but my guess is UCD finishes out 2-0
 
SWWeatherCat said:
Still gotta get it done @SUU and @ISU but @NAU really hurts. Maybe EWU helps out Weber but my guess is UCD finishes out 2-0
Click to expand...
I really don't know. However, this game is at EWU and they have the second best defense in the BSC, IMO. Does EWU have the offense to beat the Aggies? That is what I really don't know. I think we exposed them a little bit.

I think that EWU has the pride to get it done on their red turf. That red turf is sickening to all visiting teams. :coffee:
 
SWWeatherCat said:
Still gotta get it done @SUU and @ISU but @NAU really hurts. Maybe EWU helps out Weber but my guess is UCD finishes out 2-0
Click to expand...

Yep, NAU stings. Win that game and you're looking at a possible 10-1 season and a probable 2nd seed.
 
NAU hurts but not as bad as it could because everyone is losing games. If we win out, a top 4 seed is almost certain and a 2 seed is still very possible. Get your popcorn and lungs ready fans!
 
Weber takes care of business and the Cats get a seed. It is as easy as that. We know that two of the four teams will lose one more time. Weber just needs to take care of business on Saturday in Cedar. Right now, that is the most important thing.
 
Conference Auto-Bid seeding since playoff expansion in 2013

2017 SUU #8
2016 EWU #2
2015 SUU None
2014 EWU #4
2013 EWU #3
 
It's still early but it's not looking like EWU will be able to hang with UCD on either side of the ball, even with the cold and snow conditions.
 
SWWeatherCat said:
It's still early but it's not looking like EWU will be able to hang with UCD on either side of the ball, even with the cold and snow conditions.
Click to expand...

Make a post like this is one way to make the game more competitive and exciting to watch. :lol:
 
Be prepared that if Weber doesnt win convincingly, and Eastern beats Davis that the Eagles could jump us. Shouldn't happen but it is the ncaa after all
 
No way in hell they pass us. The committee knows rivalry games can be close. Both teams have two losses but we beat Eastern so there is no debate who the better team is. Plus one of their wins is against a D2 team and we would hold the conference auto qualifier.
 
PurpleBlood said:
No way in hell they pass us. The committee knows rivalry games can be close. Both teams have two losses but we beat Eastern so there is no debate who the better team is. Plus one of their wins is against a D2 team and we would hold the conference auto qualifier.
Click to expand...

Its the NCAA, i would put nothing past them. Best to just take care of business next week in pocatato
 
Regardless of what happens next week, Weber, EWU, and Davis are in. Does the winner of the brawl get in? I think so due to the parity across the nation this season.
 
SWeberCat02 said:
Regardless of what happens next week, Weber, EWU, and Davis are in. Does the winner of the brawl get in? I think so due to the parity across the nation this season.
Click to expand...

Montana State with a win has a better shot at getting in than Montana has if they win. MSU has a stronger SoS and better losses/wins than Montana. But I almost think thats a moot point. I also think the winner gets an at large. Dont forget both teams have large stadiums and fill them and the NCAA loves them some money.
 
From the conference:

If there’s a three-way tie, Weber State will earn the auto bid to the FCS Playoffs. The Wildcats hold the tie breaker over the Eagles and the Aggies fell to Eastern Washington. If UCD and WSU are tied, the Aggies earn the auto bid because the two teams did not play each other and the tiebreaker would be decided by Sagarin rankings. If by chance there’s a four-way tie at 6-2 between Eastern Washington, Idaho State, UC Davis, and Weber State, the Eagles would get the auto bid.
Click to expand...

Auto-bid doesn't really matter though, as all three teams are in. But seed rankings are in play for sure. Should be cheering for both EWU and Davis, and of course Weber, to win to help the SOS for all three teams. Also, 2nd ranked Kennesaw St plays 8-2 Jacksonville St so there's a chance they lose meaning wins by Weber and EWU and one of them has a chance at a number 2 seed.
 
PurpleBlood said:
No way in hell they pass us. The committee knows rivalry games can be close. Both teams have two losses but we beat Eastern so there is no debate who the better team is. Plus one of their wins is against a D2 team and we would hold the conference auto qualifier.
Click to expand...

There actually is a debate. We’re a much different team now than we were when you beat us starting a Sophomore Qb in only his second start. Frankly if the two teams played again today I’d give EWU a strong advantage.

There’s also margin of victory against common opponents. We’re beating the same teams by a much wider margin. That matters.
 
ewuranger said:
PurpleBlood said:
No way in hell they pass us. The committee knows rivalry games can be close. Both teams have two losses but we beat Eastern so there is no debate who the better team is. Plus one of their wins is against a D2 team and we would hold the conference auto qualifier.
Click to expand...

There actually is a debate. We’re a much different team now than we were when you beat us starting a Sophomore Qb in only his second start. Frankly if the two teams played again today I’d give EWU a strong advantage.

There’s also margin of victory against common opponents. We’re beating the same teams by a much wider margin. That matters.
Click to expand...

The playoff committee rankings came out before and Eastern Washington was 9 they beat UC DAVIS and that is it really and Weber was 4 no way they move them ahead of us being that far down and us winning head to head. Last year Weber was ranked higher than Southern Utah but we had to travel to them because they won the conference automatic bid the same thing will happen this year if we beat Idaho State on Saturday
 
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