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BiG Sky Record

baller

Active member
The Big Sky Conference men's basketball teams have played a total of 104 games through Saturday, December 12th. They have won 46 of those games for a winning percentage of 44%.

They have played 21 of those games against NCAA divisions lower than Division 1. With a record here of 21-0 and a winning percentage of 100%.

That means that for games against Division 1 opponents their record is 25-58 or a winning percentage of 28%.

The Sky has played 15 games against Power 5/Top 30 type teams with a record of 3-12 or a winning percentage of 20%

The conference has played 49 games against conferences/teams considered to be approximately equivalent to the Big Sky Conference. In those games their record is 19-30 or 39%

WHAT CONCLUSIONS, IF ANY, CAN BE DRAWN FROM THESE WON/LOSS STATS??

It would also be useful to know in each category, which of these games were home versus road games... I will try to compile these stats also for a later post.
 
The Big Sky has played 16 neutral site games with a record of 7-9, or 44% winning percentage.
............................ 47 road games with a record of 7-39, or 15% winning percentage.
............................ 43 home games with a record of 31-12, or 72% winning percentage.

OBSERVATIONS
If one extracts all of the road games losses against Power 5/Top 30 type teams the record becomes 7-27, or a 26% winning percentage. All but two games against higher opponents were road games. I considered mountain west conference teams in the Top 30 category. The two home games played at home against these higher opponents were Boise State vs Montana and Washington State vs Idaho. Both were Big Sky victories.

Likewise, by extracting all 21 homes wins against lower Division opponents, the home record becomes 10-12 or a 45% winning percentage. All of the remaining 22 games were against conferences/teams considered roughly equivalent to the Big Sky conference.

The Big Sky has played 43 home games against Division 1 opponents and 46 road games and won 48% of them. Likewise they have played 21 games against non-division 1 opponents, all at home, and won them all.

CONCLUSIONS
The Big Sky is in the lower half of all mid-major conferences, probably in the bottom 25%. The Sky has an overall winning percentage against all mid-major opponents of only 42%.

The Sky is playing 20% of its games against lower division opponents, 15% against power conferences and 65% of its games against similar conferences.

WEBER STATE CONCLUSIONS
(1) Play 23% of its pre-conference games against lower division opponents, 62% of its games against similar
division opponents and 15% against higher division opponents. These are slightly lower numbers than the
conference as a whole.
(2) Unfortunately, the quality of lower division opponents of Weber are much lower than the overall
conference quality of lower division opponents.
(3) Also, the higher division opponents of Weber don't rank well against the higher division opponents played by
other conference teams.
(4) Weber's home record is 0-1 against higher division opponents; 2-0 against lesser division opponents; and its
road record is 0-2 against equivalent and higher opponents. It's neutral record is 3-0 against all opponents.
Their home record is below the winning percentage for the conference and also below this percentage for
road games. For neutral site games it is above the conference standard.
(5) It is my opinion that Weber has the assets that should place them at the top of the conference in all of
these categories. Even well above the rest of the conference. They have everything they need to
accomplish this, except one thing. They have an inferior coach. After this season Randy Rahe should go.
And if he isn't going to go, he should be required to bring in a top-notch assistant that can make up for all
of the coaching shortcomings of Randy.

GO WILDCATS, BEAT DENVER. YOU HAVE THE PLAYERS TO ACCOMPLISH IT. HOPEFULLY THE COACHING WILL BE UP TO PAR ALSO. IF SO, WEBER WILL WIN THIS GAME. WEBER SHOULD WIN THIS GAME!
 
OBSERVATIONS
... I considered mountain west conference teams in the Top 30 category. The two home games played at home against these higher opponents were Boise State vs Montana and Washington State vs Idaho. Both were Big Sky victories.

Aren't you missing Wyoming @ Montana St.? It looks like they may have done a home-and-home, each winning on their home floor. After today, you'll have another one: Colorado St. @ Northern Colorado.

There's no doubt Rahe's been an average HC at Weber and certainly not worth being the highest paid. To even hint at that on this forum a few years ago and you'd get an ear-full and questioned how you'd like to go back to the days of Cravens, Huston, and Farmer. I'd love to see a passionate X's and O's coaching staff who knows how to teach and develop players into playing competitive basketball and let their success, facilities, etc. make up for any possible recruiting weakness, but nothings going to change because "just Weber" loves their "just enough" approach and BSC winning %.
 
According to Sagarin Rating the Big Sky is currently rated 27th of 34 conferences. Before UNC joined I remember the sky being in the 14-18 range.
 
Not to ease any of our present pain, but noted UVU got their 2nd D1 victory over ISU (yeah, I know, so what) by a landslide 100-76 in Pockey...also Portland (just around the bend next) beat Sac St 81-73 (didn't ISU beat Portland earlier game by a point)? Yes they did. Go figure... :?
 
Wow! Is Big Sky basketball really this bad. Southern Utah just lost to St Mary's 36-92 and NAU lost to Arizona 37-92. Looks like a very weak Big Sky will bail Rahe out again this year. Surely Weber can win most games against such weak opponents and give Rahe his coveted 20 win season with all 20 wins coming against lower division teams and really bad Big Sky teams. Go Rahe! You're one of two or three big fish in a really small and dirty pond. Thank you athletics department for believing that such a season makes Rahe a great coach. Onward and Upward on smaller and smaller mountains. A certain formula to sustain jobs and create a false sense of success in fans. With that attitude Weber will most certainly be able to remain the dirty pond Big Fish.
 

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