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Eastern Washington

W

WILDCAT

Active member
So for the 3rd time in a row Weber State is playing AT Eastern Washington in a pivotal Big Sky matchup.

(Eastern hasn't been to Ogden since 2012 and wont again till 2018, while Weber will have played there 3 times 2013, 2015, 2017 in the same span. Sure seems fair.)

The Eagles come in with a record of 5-3 overall and 4-1 in the Big Sky with one of the more explosive, fast paced offenses in the league, they score and score fast. However they also come in as one of the worst defensive teams in the league.

They are...
3rd in scoring offense at 34.9 ppg - Weber State is 1st in scoring defense allowing 16.0 ppg
3rd in total offense at 469.6 ypg - Weber State is 1st in total defense allowing 314.3 ypg
1st in Pass offense at 339.2 ypg - Weber State is 1st in pass defense allowing 188.1ypg

Also of note about Eastern, they are...
Tied for 10th in scoring defense with 36.5 points allowed
11th at total defense in allowing 479.0 ypg
11th in rushing offense at 130.4 ypg
10th in rushing defense at 214.4 ypg
10th in passing defense at 264.6 ypg


On paper it looks like it should be a Weber win, but Eastern is at home and are coming off a bye and will be looking to recover from the beatdown SUU gave them.

Also the weather forecast is calling for low 30's and snow showers. Could be a factor.

I like Weber's chances, but we gotta limit the big plays and get Gubrud off the field.

Here's hoping my eye retina down burn up from having to watch the game on that horrid field and Weber comes out with the win.

GO WILDCATS!
 
I think this is a game that could go either way. If Weber can pull it off, it will go a long way in cementing their playoff and Big Sky title chances.

I'll take the Cats 35-30 in a game where Weber wins in the final drive of the game.
 
MrLevski said:
I think this is a game that could go either way. If Weber can pull it off, it will go a long way in cementing their playoff and Big Sky title chances.

I'll take the Cats 35-30 in a game where Weber wins in the final drive of the game.
Click to expand...
I feel the same way about it. If we put a complete game together, we can win easily. If we can manage only one half of good football, we could lose it easily. Of course, a lot depends on how EWU plays as well. I could make the same arguments about how they come to play. Plus, How will the BYE week effect their performance? It sure didn't help us. We looked rusty after our BYE week.

I'm hoping that our Wildcats have a little edge to them right now. :coffee:
 
Neither team runs the ball very effectively. If you accept the old reasoning that it's more difficult to throw the ball in bad weather and you look at Weber's defense, then it might be difficult for EWU to do much at all offensively. On paper, EWU has the more productive offense, yardage wise, but isn't much better than Weber in scoring, and Weber's red zone defense is #2 in the nation (57.1 Pct., which is 14.9 Pct. better than the #2 team in the conference). Weber has only allowed 6 TDs from within the red zone all season. If Weber contains the long scoring plays, Weber should win this game by at least 7-10 points. Weber's defense is much better and will be the difference.
 
WILDCAT said:
So for the 3rd time in a row Weber State is playing AT Eastern Washington in a pivotal Big Sky matchup.

(Eastern hasn't been to Ogden since 2012 and wont again till 2018, while Weber will have played there 3 times 2013, 2015, 2017 in the same span. Sure seems fair.)

The Eagles come in with a record of 5-3 overall and 4-1 in the Big Sky with one of the more explosive, fast paced offenses in the league, they score and score fast. However they also come in as one of the worst defensive teams in the league.

They are...
3rd in scoring offense at 34.9 ppg - Weber State is 1st in scoring defense allowing 16.0 ppg
3rd in total offense at 469.6 ypg - Weber State is 1st in total defense allowing 314.3 ypg
1st in Pass offense at 339.2 ypg - Weber State is 1st in pass defense allowing 188.1ypg

Also of note about Eastern, they are...
Tied for 10th in scoring defense with 36.5 points allowed
11th at total defense in allowing 479.0 ypg
11th in rushing offense at 130.4 ypg
10th in rushing defense at 214.4 ypg
10th in passing defense at 264.6 ypg


On paper it looks like it should be a Weber win, but Eastern is at home and are coming off a bye and will be looking to recover from the beatdown SUU gave them.

Also the weather forecast is calling for low 30's and snow showers. Could be a factor.

I like Weber's chances, but we gotta limit the big plays and get Gubrud off the field.

Here's hoping my eye retina down burn up from having to watch the game on that horrid field and Weber comes out with the win.

GO WILDCATS!
Click to expand...

EWU is 2nd in the conference in Total Offense, but last in Time of Possession. They are very fast paced and pass a lot. 2nd in pass attempts with 352 and 12th in rush attempts with 259. They pass 57.6% of the time, which is 1st. The conference average is 44.6%. But with that pace, you would expect more scoring. Their offense scores 34.9 points a game, which is 3rd, and only a 1.5 points better than Weber. Their Pass Efficiency is only 6th and they turn the ball over more than anyone else in the conference. This explains why they don't score more.
 
SWeberCat02 said:
Neither team runs the ball very effectively. If you accept the old reasoning that it's more difficult to throw the ball in bad weather and you look at Weber's defense, then it might be difficult for EWU to do much at all offensively.
...
Click to expand...

Generally speaking, you've got to give the nod to the defense in "nasty weather" which would certainly bode well for Weber. However, with the turf fields I don't think the cold and rain has too much impact. Wind and snow? That's a different story. Wasn't the last meeting played in a relentless wind? I'd love a repeat of that but it's not looking like the weather will be much of a factor.

The current forecast:
FRI -- Chance or rain/snow showers
SAT -- Game start 33°/5mph/8% rain; Game end 33°/4mph/18% rain.
SUN -- Good chance of snow
 
I've seen snowy conditions favor a passing team. The DBs having a hard time reacting to what the receivers are doing. Receivers may have to change up on their routs a bit, make less severe cuts and not rely on a plant foot so much. We beat USU in a snow storm with the passing game. Their DBs fell and slipped time after time. In that game, running was really hard. RBs couldn't make sharp cuts. It was straight ahead or nothing.
 
Weber needs to do the same exact thing that they did to Montana. Put pressure on the Eastern QB. If he is hurried, he will make mistakes. On offense Weber will continue to do its thing.
 
Can someone explain why Weber routinely throws 4+ yards shy of the 1st down marker on 3rd downs? Often it's into double coverage and rarely is there YAC.
 
That was one of if not THE WORST 2 minute offense I think I have ever seen. Waaaaaay to conservative in this pivotal game.

Come on Weber and coaches, play hungry.
 
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