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Final Committee Top Ten Released

dudeitsaid

dudeitsaid

Active member
Gotta say, they finally got it pretty dang close!

1 NDSU
2 EWU
3 Jacksonville St
4 JMU
5 SHSU
6 The Citadel
7 UCA
8 Richmond
9 UND
10 SDSU
 
FormerEag said:
This makes sense to me. What's the best seed we've ever had?
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We were a 2 seed in 2012. They've only been seeding teams since 2009. They only seeded 1-4 then, with a 16 team playoff. In 2010, it went to 20 teams, with the top 5 seeded (of which we were the 5 seed). In 2012 we were a 2 (out of five seeds). In 2013, the playoffs expanded to 24 teams, with eight seeds. We were a 3 seed that year, then a 4 seed in 2014.

So, if it works out that we are the 2 seed, it will be tied with our best ever. Or, maybe NDSU loses, and we snag the 1. :D
 
dudeitsaid said:
Gotta say, they finally got it pretty dang close!

1 NDSU
2 EWU
3 Jacksonville St
4 JMU
5 SHSU
6 The Citadel
7 UCA
8 Richmond
9 UND
10 SDSU
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This looks pretty good. Much better than the first release.
 
#2 is just as good as #1 logistically. As long as we win out, we would have home games til the final round! Every bracket projection has looked very very favorable to us. Unlike 2014, there isn't a team on the slate that I am not confident we would beat (except maybe NDSU, but we won't see them until Frisco).
 
Rjones61 said:
#2 is just as good as #1 logistically. As long as we win out, we would have home games til the final round! Every bracket projection has looked very very favorable to us. Unlike 2014, there isn't a team on the slate that I am not confident we would beat (except maybe NDSU, but we won't see them until Frisco).
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You don't think we are a much better team now. than when we played NDSU at the beginning of the season.
I sure we have improved much more that NDSU has over the last 8 games. I am not at all worried about them anymore than any other play off team.
 
Rontheoldwiseeagle said:
Rjones61 said:
#2 is just as good as #1 logistically. As long as we win out, we would have home games til the final round! Every bracket projection has looked very very favorable to us. Unlike 2014, there isn't a team on the slate that I am not confident we would beat (except maybe NDSU, but we won't see them until Frisco).
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You don't think we are a much better team now. than when we played NDSU at the beginning of the season.
I sure we have improved much more that NDSU has over the last 8 games. I am not at all worried about them anymore than any other play off team.
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Oh, I know we have improved. But NDSU has improved a lot as well. They have a good coaching crew over there. Just look at how they have gone from squeaking by teams to pummeling them.

I know we are better than NDSU, but I don't think we are so much better that we will would control the game. I feel we control the game against any other team in the bracket.
 
Only fitting that a rematch would be in Frisco, but I was really hoping NDSU would remain a 3 so they would have to travel to Cheney. :lol: :twisted:
 
Rjones61 said:
#2 is just as good as #1 logistically. As long as we win out, we would have home games til the final round! Every bracket projection has looked very very favorable to us. Unlike 2014, there isn't a team on the slate that I am not confident we would beat (except maybe NDSU, but we won't see them until Frisco).
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I'd favor us at home against anyone too. The teams that would be the biggest challenge IMO are SHSU and JMU (If Brian Schor comes back from his collarbone injury). They can both score with us. SHSU has given up a ton of points and yardage but almost all of that has been in garbage time against backups. They have one of the best DL's in the country with PJ Hall and are very athletic at all 3 levels. JMU's D has struggled at times as well but absolutely shut down Nova last week so like us they appear to be playing better.

I'd also give give SDSU a punchers chance with their offense in a shootout.

And I wouldn't want to see UNI again if they were to sneak in. They held us in the 30's and have been averaging 36 ppg (in a tough MVFC) since switching QB 4 weeks ago.
 
Looking down the road at possibilities I'm a bit uncomfortable...but sure is fun. I sure hope we don't play NDSU in a final game in Frisco. The game has been sold out forever. Those fat Bison Bastards bought all the tickets, except for the school allotment that goes to schools in the final. And they bought them way back the 1st day they went on sale. Hopefully they won't make the final and then tickets will surface all over the place...fat bastards!

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kalm said:
I'd favor us at home against anyone too. The teams that would be the biggest challenge IMO are SHSU and JMU (If Brian Schor comes back from his collarbone injury). They can both score with us. SHSU has given up a ton of points and yardage but almost all of that has been in garbage time against backups. They have one of the best DL's in the country with PJ Hall and are very athletic at all 3 levels. JMU's D has struggled at times as well but absolutely shut down Nova last week so like us they appear to be playing better.

I'd also give give SDSU a punchers chance with their offense in a shootout.

And I wouldn't want to see UNI again if they were to sneak in. They held us in the 30's and have been averaging 36 ppg (in a tough MVFC) since switching QB 4 weeks ago.
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This...

I think our toughest opponents would be JMU/SHSU...the way they have the bracket now would work out well for us as the only time we would see them is in Frisco, if they can get past the Bison in Fargo. If SHSU beats UCA I think the top 6 remain the same, and either UND or SDSU moves into a seed...
 
My Big Sky playoff predictions:

UND and EWU are a given. This years playoff pool is too shallow and the bracket will have a lot of holes to fill. No way the committee doesn't look to the Big Sky for more teams.

First, they will give the nod to Weber. Weber is looking to finish the conference in third and has losses to good teams. They played tightly in all of those FCS games. Weber also has a win over the other playoff hopeful, Cal Poly. This makes their 7-4 season more forgivable.

I think they will look for a fourth. Cal Poly will win this upcoming weekend (book it) and Montana will win as well (slightly less confident about this). I honestly think they give Cal Poly the nod in this situation as they have the head to head win over Montana and a high quality win over South Dakota State.

After all of this, Montana is the only team still a viable option for playoffs (in the Big Sky). Montana's hopes lie entirely on whether or not the committee lets a fifth playoff team into playoffs. They very well might... it's just such a shallow pool of bubble teams this year. Montana's playoff hopes are basically a coin flip (in this scenario) and I am going to think that the committee has Montana sit for playoffs and goes for more MVFC teams. I just don't see them grabbing a team that will finish, at best, tied for sixth in the conference.



The only other way I can foresee this going down is they pick up Cal Poly first, because of their wins against Montana and SDSU. However, they will still pick up Weber before Montana, because Weber beat the playoff team Cal Poly and finished higher in the conference. Montana has a real uphill battle to get into playoffs.
 
MONTANA gets in based off of :twocents: :twocents: :twocents: :twocents: :twocents: :twocents: :twocents: :twocents: :twocents: :twocents: :twocents: :twocents: :twocents: :twocents: :twocents: :twocents: :twocents: :twocents: :twocents: :twocents: :twocents: :twocents: :twocents: :twocents: :twocents:
 
EWU98 said:
MONTANA gets in based off of :twocents: :twocents: :twocents: :twocents: :twocents: :twocents: :twocents: :twocents: :twocents: :twocents: :twocents: :twocents: :twocents: :twocents: :twocents: :twocents: :twocents: :twocents: :twocents: :twocents: :twocents: :twocents: :twocents: :twocents: :twocents:
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That just, like, your opinion, man.

I don't think Montana gets in. Although I think we'll know more after tonight. If Liberty win and make it to 7-4, that's a bubble team that'll get in ahead of Montana.

It's hard for me to justify a 7-4 with all FCS losses and no FBS wins getting in. Especially when their non-con schedule only featured one premier FCS team.
 
I hope the team isn't reading any of this playoff speculation. None of it matter unless we take care of business tomorrow night. I hope to see a huge amount of red in the stands in Portland tomorrow!
 
Liberty lost last night and SELA gets to 7-4 but has a terrible resume with their best win coming against a 6-5 McNeese (assuming McNeese beats Lamar tomorrow).

Weber and Montana have similar resumes. They're within a point in terms of SoS and Weber's benefits from getting pummled by USU.

Weber's best wins are a one score game at home against Poly and road win against SUU who will probably finish 5-6.

Montana's best wins are against NEC champ St. Francis who had 2 other decent losses to Towson and Albany, and UNI on the road. Montana lost a close game to Poly on the road. Not that I'm a computer fan, but Montana is also WAY ahead of Weber in Sagarin, 110-168.

I think Poly has the better resume of the 3.

It shouldn't come down to how many from the conference get bids. It's a matter of comparing resumes between 8-10 teams vying for around 6-8 spots regardless of conference.

UNI helps Montana's SoS if they beat SDSU at home but also become another bubble team at 6-5. I think both ISUr and UNI are in play at 6-5.

The other game to watch is UTM @ JSU for the OVC auto-bid. A UTM win narrows the bubble.
 
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