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ISU @ UM game huge for Weber

C

ClarkWGrizwald

Active member
Here's why:

Assuming Montana wins out at home, they could still lose one of their remaining road games and hold the tie-breaker over Weber. The two teams would both have 2 losses, and would be 1-1 in head to head match-ups. The tie break formula then looks at how each team has done versus others in the conference, from top to bottom. Since it's a near certainty that ISU -- a team UM would have two wins against and weber lost to -- will finish ahead of either NAU or UNC (UM's remaining road games), UM will hold the tie break.
 
All the more reason for Weber to just take care of business, we shot ourselves in the foot, now we have to work even harder to get it back. Winning in Missoula is gonna be extrememly tough, but this Weber team, with Lillard leading is capable of anything
 
Fatigue caught up with Weber on the 2nd leg of a long road trip at ISU.

Fatigue might be something to watch as Momtana had a 4 hour bus trip to Bozeman a physical game and 4 hr bus back to Missoula & host a hot ISU team tonight after 1 day rest. Then hit the road at NoCo Thursday & Sac. St. Saturday (winners of 3 in a row) including a 34 point win against NAU, & a double digit win against NoCo, & a big win at EWU, & was up by 19 at the half. I don't expect UM to lose 2 of these 3, which is what we would need if they beat ISU, but 4 games in 8 days is alot, & 3 on the road.
 
Bluefin said:
Fatigue caught up with Weber on the 2nd leg of a long road trip at ISU.

Fatigue might be something to watch as Momtana had a 4 hour bus trip to Bozeman a physical game and 4 hr bus back to Missoula & host a hot ISU team tonight after 1 day rest. Then hit the road at NoCo Thursday & Sac. St. Saturday (winners of 3 in a row) including a 34 point win against NAU, & a double digit win against NoCo, & a big win at EWU, & was up by 19 at the half. I don't expect UM to lose 2 of these 3, which is what we would need if they beat ISU, but 4 games in 8 days is alot, & 3 on the road.
Click to expand...
:agree:
 
I sure hope you are right. But let's not forget that if Weber wins out, nothing Montana or ISU does is relevant. :willybs: :willybs: :willybs:
 
ISU is getting smoked at UM. WSU controls their own destiny, win out and host, then win two and go dancing.
 
everettgriz said:
Here's why:

Assuming Montana wins out at home, they could still lose one of their remaining road games and hold the tie-breaker over Weber. The two teams would both have 2 losses, and would be 1-1 in head to head match-ups. The tie break formula then looks at how each team has done versus others in the conference, from top to bottom. Since it's a near certainty that ISU -- a team UM would have two wins against and weber lost to -- will finish ahead of either NAU or UNC (UM's remaining road games), UM will hold the tie break.
Click to expand...

op is wrong, UM's remaining road games are NoCo & Sac. St. MU (as Altitude would call it) has already played NAU twice. If anybody thinks it's a certainty that ISU finishes ahead of NoCo & Sac. St. they crazy....
2 games separate NoCo & ISU & 3 games for Sac St. I don't think MU comes away from this week unscathed, and the best scenario for us is for a NoCo win on Thursday night in Greeley, and ISU losses this week against PSU & @ NAU. In fact I wouldn't be surprised to see ISU lose there last 5 including EWU home & away, and Sac St.
 
You're reaching, Blue. ISU is two full games plus a tie-break up on UNC, meaning they basically have a 3 game lead with 5 to play, including 3 home games. Likewise, ISU is a full 3 games plus a tie break over Sac (even if they lost to Sac in their next meeting) based on their early victory against Sac and the win over Weber, meaning they are essentially 4 games up on them.

Could it happen that UNC catches ISU? Sure. Is it likely? Uhhh...no. Is it possible that Sac catches ISU? Sure. It's also possible that the world will end tomorrow.

So even if ISU loses 4 out of 5 (something I consider quite unlikely), UNC would need to win 4 out of 5 against: Montana, MSU, Eastern, Weber, and PSU. Obviously if they beat Weber, that's no help to Weber. So they have to beat UM, MSU, Eastern, and PSU. Likely?? I'm going with a big fat "NO" on that.
 
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