WEBER LOST - THE CULPRIT WAS OFFENSIVE REBOUNDING
For the fourth straight game Weber has been spanked on the offensive boards. Montana out rebounded them on their offensive board by 10 (16-6) This advantage led to a lot more points than what we lost by. On the boards, our bigs vs their bigs, (Montana's bigs are terrible) was a wash. They played 4 bigs for an average of 24 minutes each; we played only 2 bigs for an average of 31 minutes each. Why no Jordan Dallas if what Rahe says is accurate about tired legs? Scoring by the bigs was also virtually a wash.
Weber got spanked in rebounding by their guards. Out rebounded by 20-9 with a plus 10 for them in offensive rebounds. We played 6 guards for an average of 28 minutes each and they played 4 guards for an average of 25 minutes each. Why again, if Weber's problem lately is tired legs, are we playing more minutes per player than the opposition?
Our conference opponents have figured out the formula to beat Weber and we have lost the past 4 games by the use of the same strategy each time. Montana's guards pushed the Weber guards, as they tried to run their outside passing game, further out toward the half court line. On most possessions our guards were operating from 10-15 feet beyond the arch. Way to far out to be effective. Our offense rarely looks to pass inside when they are running this outside game and so the defense can concentrate totally on pushing them outward without worrying about getting beat inside very often. The result; we are taking last second hurried shots from far out so often that it renders our guards less effective (evidenced by poor shooting percentage). Last night Montana added to this formula by having their guards go inside time after time and challenge our bigs inside. It was super effective for them because our bigs are slow of foot and late in reacting versus their small quick guards. It was appalling how often their "little" guards out rebounded our bigs and our guards, especially offensively. Hopefully next years team will learn to position, block out and rebound in a way that this year's team has never learned to do.
Cody John got exposed as a defensive point last night. He has to become a 2 and improve his outside shooting if he is to be good at it. I doubt that he will be playing the point next year.
I give Cannon credit for his play last night. I am often super critical of him because he has no offensive game, but last night he made a difference by bringing high energy, passing well and playing intense defense. He seemed to get some of his last year mojo back. He will, however, never be a point who can put up the points. I predict that next year the starting point will be the little guy coming in from Texas, Nelson. And I repeat that for us to get the most out of Harding he has to learn to play the point. He will always be a scorer but he needs to learn the point. I love his game. His intensity last night was exemplary.
Speaking of exemplary, Randy's coaching was not. Once again, he was so predictable and unbending in his game plan that it was easy for the opposing coach to look like a superstar strategist. I wonder if Randy realizes how badly he is being out-coached and how easy he makes it for his counterpart to out coach him?
We don't yet know who our first opponent will be in Reno, but it wouldn't surprise me to see us play one game and be out of that tournament. There are just too many negatives in our game that are a result of Randy's stubbornness and aren't getting corrected for us to expect to win. Having said that, I do hope we beat MSU Saturday and get the third seed. It can happen but it will take our talent to overcome a system that works against their skills.