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Sac State plays Santa Claus

L

LDopaPDX

Active member
Hornets beating Cal Poly is huge. While I think we have some serious soul searching to do after this shock upset, at least the table sits in our favor. Had Northern Colorado beaten NAU, and they only lost on a last minute FG, our loss would've amounted to a wash... the only thing that would have suffered would be our seeding if we win out.

Eastern has a ton to improve on, especially on the defensive front where we got beat up and pushed around all day. But if we can pull it together, the Big Sky Championship is there to be won. NAU benefits from the easiest possible schedule (no Eastern, Montana State, or Sac State), but they must beat Southern Utah and Cal Poly to clinch the title. I don't think they'll do it. IF (big IF based on today's performance) we win out, and NAU loses only one, we'd win at least a share of the title but still be the auto-bid winner by way of the tie-breaker procedure.

Cal Poly might not be as great as their record suggests, and with wiggle room, it's possible they come into next week knowing it isn't a must-win for them. For us, it is a total must-win, as another loss would put us on the brink of missing the playoffs.

It's time to reflect on the loss, learn from those mistakes, toughen up (without naming names, it's not hard to figure out who I mean), and come out and get the win on Saturday!
 
LDopaPDX said:
Hornets beating Cal Poly is huge. While I think we have some serious soul searching to do after this shock upset, at least the table sits in our favor. Had Northern Colorado beaten NAU, and they only lost on a last minute FG, our loss would've amounted to a wash... the only thing that would have suffered would be our seeding if we win out.

Eastern has a ton to improve on, especially on the defensive front where we got beat up and pushed around all day. But if we can pull it together, the Big Sky Championship is there to be won. NAU benefits from the easiest possible schedule (no Eastern, Montana State, or Sac State), but they must beat Southern Utah and Cal Poly to clinch the title. I don't think they'll do it. IF (big IF based on today's performance) we win out, and NAU loses only one, we'd win at least a share of the title but still be the auto-bid winner by way of the tie-breaker procedure.

Cal Poly might not be as great as their record suggests, and with wiggle room, it's possible they come into next week knowing it isn't a must-win for them. For us, it is a total must-win, as another loss would put us on the brink of missing the playoffs.

It's time to reflect on the loss, learn from those mistakes, toughen up (without naming names, it's not hard to figure out who I mean), and come out and get the win on Saturday!
Click to expand...

Stop it! Your role is board pessimist! :mrgreen:

Actually, I just had the exact same thought. If things were to play out that way, I think we would still be a virtual lock for a seed with the same win-loss as NAU and having beat MSU and Poly. I don't see the committee excluding the BSC from one of the top 4 seeds.

That being said, we need to get healthy real quick in the front seven - especially with Poly coming to town.

I'm also going to take a little credit in suggesting that SAC is a pretty good football team and how it wouldn't be a total schock if they won out and snuck into the playoffs.
 
I think the only way we can get a seed is if we win out and receive the auto bid for the conference. NAU only has one tough game left and that is Cal Poly, we will need Cal Poly to win that game. Unless we lose, there is really no way MSU can beat us in any of the tiebreaker scenarios regardless of how many teams are tied for first. Plus, MSU plays at Sac and at UM, they have a better chance of losing both of those games than winning them. I don't think Cal Poly will lose another conference game, but we have to beat them next weekend, and I think we will.

Sac has an outside shot to sneak into the playoffs still as well, especially if they have wins over Cal Poly and MSU. Heck MSU, will be ranked in the top 3 this week and if they don't beat Sac St and the Griz, they would finish 7-3 (their D2 win doesn't count) and barely make it into the playoffs.

All this means is there is a lot of football left to play and we need to take care of business. If we finish 9-2, we should have a first round bye and a 2nd round home game.
 
marceagfan5 said:
I think the only way we can get a seed is if we win out and receive the auto bid for the conference. NAU only has one tough game left and that is Cal Poly, we will need Cal Poly to win that game. Unless we lose, there is really no way MSU can beat us in any of the tiebreaker scenarios regardless of how many teams are tied for first. Plus, MSU plays at Sac and at UM, they have a better chance of losing both of those games than winning them. I don't think Cal Poly will lose another conference game, but we have to beat them next weekend, and I think we will.

Sac has an outside shot to sneak into the playoffs still as well, especially if they have wins over Cal Poly and MSU. Heck MSU, will be ranked in the top 3 this week and if they don't beat Sac St and the Griz, they would finish 7-3 (their D2 win doesn't count) and barely make it into the playoffs.

All this means is there is a lot of football left to play and we need to take care of business. If we finish 9-2, we should have a first round bye and a 2nd round home game.
Click to expand...

IF we finish 9-2 I still think we get seed over MSU, even if they run the table. It would be a 5 seed if NAU wins out, and a 3 seed if they lose one.
 
kalm said:
IF we finish 9-2 I still think we get seed over MSU, even if they run the table. It would be a 5 seed if NAU wins out, and a 3 seed if they lose one.
Click to expand...

+ 1

an NAU loss to the right team and EWU winning out we'd still probably have a 4 or 5 seed. Home field advantage is out of the question but we could luck out like 2010.
 
I was not happy when EWU lost this weekend because I knew it would refocus the Eagles and they would be looking for blood this coming weekend. Cal Poly also lost this weekend, their first of the season, and now I am hoping it will refocus the Mustangs and the come to Cheney with a big chip on their shoulder. I think it will be a battle. Glad I am making the trip to see it.
 
ewunerd said:
kalm said:
IF we finish 9-2 I still think we get seed over MSU, even if they run the table. It would be a 5 seed if NAU wins out, and a 3 seed if they lose one.
Click to expand...

+ 1

an NAU loss to the right team and EWU winning out we'd still probably have a 4 or 5 seed. Home field advantage is out of the question but we could luck out like 2010.
Click to expand...
Seeds do represent home field advantage as long as you are the highest seeded team in your bracket.
 
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