oldrunner
Active member
An absolute flood of out transfers hit the market just a couple of days ago. I see this 'end of season' out migration as primarily PT issues. They have either self evaluated or encouraged to seek a better fit for their skill level. They are, most likely, not behavior issues. These players hit the market in March and early April. Most of these players will slide down a notch or two. Those with a red shirt year left may try to find another D1 program. Those who have used 1 or less years of eligibility may go to a JC, in hopes of getting back to a high level of D1 in the future. Those with 2 or less years left, and who have used a RS year, are most likely headed to a D11 or D111. There are some gems in this group but there are also some who were simply over rated coming out of HS.
The mid season out migration is a much more risky population to evaluate. Generally, somebody was unhappy. Either the player or the coaches were unhappy with how the player was fitting in with the team. Out of this group of transfers you might find a good player, but there is probably something in the situation that will cause you to dig a little deeper. These players could end up almost anywhere or nowhere.
Then there are the players who hit the transfer market in late spring and through the summer. Very few of these players will end up back at a D1 program. Many more of them will struggle to find anything. Every year there are a few quite talented players who end up with nothing.
I bring this up because of how unique the two recruiting periods are. Fall has become the prime time for D1 programs to load up on HS talent. They have been watching these players develop for several years, have a good idea of what they can do and who they want to sign. The competition for the talent is great. Teams sign who they can and mostly they fill up their rosters.
Spring recruiting is a total scramble for many teams. Teams are trying to fill roster spots left open by out migration, sometimes unforeseen out migration. The remaining HS talent is sparse at best. Teams end up looking over seas, at transfers, or simply leaving spots open for the occasional Stan Rose or Rico Washington. At any rate, the less spring recruiting you are doing, the better.
The mid season out migration is a much more risky population to evaluate. Generally, somebody was unhappy. Either the player or the coaches were unhappy with how the player was fitting in with the team. Out of this group of transfers you might find a good player, but there is probably something in the situation that will cause you to dig a little deeper. These players could end up almost anywhere or nowhere.
Then there are the players who hit the transfer market in late spring and through the summer. Very few of these players will end up back at a D1 program. Many more of them will struggle to find anything. Every year there are a few quite talented players who end up with nothing.
I bring this up because of how unique the two recruiting periods are. Fall has become the prime time for D1 programs to load up on HS talent. They have been watching these players develop for several years, have a good idea of what they can do and who they want to sign. The competition for the talent is great. Teams sign who they can and mostly they fill up their rosters.
Spring recruiting is a total scramble for many teams. Teams are trying to fill roster spots left open by out migration, sometimes unforeseen out migration. The remaining HS talent is sparse at best. Teams end up looking over seas, at transfers, or simply leaving spots open for the occasional Stan Rose or Rico Washington. At any rate, the less spring recruiting you are doing, the better.
