I think you're under-valuing Idaho State a few spots. The Bengals have four of their top six scorers back. It is critical that they land a JUCO big, which they are working on as we speak. It would be great if the NCAA gave Kyle Ingram another year, but that's unlikely. If those two things happen--we get a decent JUCO big man and Ingram comes back, I like our chances to finish back in the middle of the pack again. If only one them of happens, we're probably in the 8-10 range. If neither happen, then yes, back to 11 is a distinct possibility.