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Week 9: @ Northern Arizona

SDHornet

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The Lumberjacks (5-2, 4-0 BSC) come into this game on a 5 game winning streak and are fresh off of a 45-31 ass kicking of the farm extension last week. NAU had a rough start to the season when their admin inexplicable announced that long time HC Jerome Souers will not be re-signed. But this team has gotten it together and IMO looks like the most balanced team in the conference.

Offensively they run various single back formations primarily from the shotgun and typically with multiple TEs (which they use very well). QB Cookus (168/288, 2,224 yds, 18 TD, 4 INT) is one of the most productive QBs in the BSC. Good arm and accuracy who has great pocket awareness and can throw on the run. Cookus spreads the ball around quite well but his main target is playmaking WR Marks (54 rec, 945 yds, 6 TD). The NAU OL is pretty good but has given up 2 sacks a game. RBs Young (70 car, 429 yds, 6 TD) and Logan (85 car, 366 yds, 3 TD) share the load on the ground. Both are capable runners but the run game is used mostly to keep the defense honest. This Lumberjack offense wants to win it through the air.

NAU has a good defense that is comparable to the Hornet defense. They line up in the 4-3 and have a DL that is good, quick, and has depth; decent LBs and a ball hawking secondary (12 INTs on the year, 1st in the BSC). Overall this is a stingy defense with good pursuit and tackling that doesn’t give up a lot of points.

On special teams the Lumberjacks have given up and taken some returns to the house. Marks is a dangerous returner. Their kicker Roehler (5/10 FG, 31/33 PAT) has had issues making FGs. Hornets have the clear advantage in the kicking game.

NAU is the most complete and balanced team the Hornets will face this season (WSU a close 2nd) as NAU has only gotten better as the season has progressed. Couple that with this road trip at elevation coming off the long haul to UND and the Hornets have a tough task ahead of them. I was having a hard time seeing a Hornet win at Flagstaff with a healthy Thomson, so with the QB situation in question (and Obinna out for the 1st half due to a targeting call) I think NAU wins this one by at least 14. Interesting note: NAU games have been penalty bonanzas this season.
 
Let's not sit here and say NAU has signature wins. Portland State, Cal Poly, N.Colorado, Davis. Combined 2 wins in Conference. Illinois State is a good win but they are not as good as past. I think a lot to see here. Not saying Hornets win, if they do, they run the table and Win the Big Sky
 
will be fun to see how the Hornets respond to an opportunity like this. Been a long time coming for Sac State football to be in such a position. Would think the team would be fired up and looking to play at their highest potential.
 
Phantom Hornet said:
Honestly, this has ass-kicking written all over it by NAU.

If Sac can keep it relatively close I'd consider it a win.

The two deep is out this week and looks like:
Ale
Clapper
Thomson

The NAU defense is comparable to ours so I think without Thomson it will be a tough road...
 
Oldhornet23 said:
Let's not sit here and say NAU has signature wins. Portland State, Cal Poly, N.Colorado, Davis. Combined 2 wins in Conference. Illinois State is a good win but they are not as good as past. I think a lot to see here. Not saying Hornets win, if they do, they run the table and Win the Big Sky
Disagree about Ill St. ISUr was ranked 7th at the time and are currently 5-2 and ranked 21st. NAU completely took over that game after half in impressive fashion.

I agree with you about the soft schedule as that applies to the Hornets this season as well. Both teams have taken care of weaker opponents so far.

I agree with PH that this game has rout potential in favor of NAU. Going to take a monstrous defensive effort to keep it close.

NAU's schedule gets interesting from this week on (at UM, vs MSU, at SUU). For them to run the table would be a very impressive feat.
 
SDHornet said:
Oldhornet23 said:
Let's not sit here and say NAU has signature wins. Portland State, Cal Poly, N.Colorado, Davis. Combined 2 wins in Conference. Illinois State is a good win but they are not as good as past. I think a lot to see here. Not saying Hornets win, if they do, they run the table and Win the Big Sky
Disagree about Ill St. ISUr was ranked 7th at the time and are currently 5-2 and ranked 21st. NAU completely took over that game after half in impressive fashion.

I agree with you about the soft schedule as that applies to the Hornets this season as well. Both teams have taken care of weaker opponents so far.

I agree with PH that this game has rout potential in favor of NAU. Going to take a monstrous defensive effort to keep it close.

NAU's schedule gets interesting from this week on (at UM, vs MSU, at SUU). For them to run the table would be a very impressive feat.

As much as the Hornets have surprised me, I just would not count them out. They dominated Southern Utah running for a lot of yards in which Northern Iowa ran for like 18. Hornets improve each week in my mind. They have potential to win this game.
 
Oldhornet23 said:
Let's not sit here and say NAU has signature wins. Portland State, Cal Poly, N.Colorado, Davis. Combined 2 wins in Conference. Illinois State is a good win but they are not as good as past. I think a lot to see here. Not saying Hornets win, if they do, they run the table and Win the Big Sky
I agree, Sac State by 3 if Thomson plays; if not NAU by 3
 
HornetHope said:
Phantom Hornet said:
Honestly, this has ass-kicking written all over it by NAU.

If Sac can keep it relatively close I'd consider it a win.

The two deep is out this week and looks like:
Ale
Clapper
Thomson

The NAU defense is comparable to ours so I think without Thomson it will be a tough road...

The two-deep says Ale or Clapper or Thomson. That’s either a good sign that Thomson could play, or a complete smoke screen from the coaching staff to keep NAU on their heels as they gameplan.
 
Sad to see the Hornets go down so badly to the Big Sky leading NAU Lumberjacks in their dome in front of 6,068 homecoming fans

Moving on to another home game and a chance to get back on track with Northern Colorado coming to campus.
 
Hornets lose big 37-17. Hornet defense held on for as long as they could and kept this game close late into the 3rd quarter (20-17 with 5 mins left). However the Hornet offense was completely dominated by the NAU defense.

Both Ale and Clapper were ineffective in all facets. Wulff did a poor job of putting either QB in a situation to succeed (only passed when absolutely necessary) so the QBs faced a lot of down and distance situations. Wulff kept rotating the QBs, not sure why he didn’t just stick with Ale as Clapper brings absolutely nothing to this offense. The offense only posted 233 yards (91 passing yards), a third of which came on a 71 yard TD run by Ajeigbe. Both QBs threw a pick 6. Hornets won’t see a defense anywhere near as good the rest of the way, but any competent defense will give this Thomson-less offense issues.

Hornet defense forced turnovers (2) and got stops to keep it close. Hornets only allowed 2 TDs and forced 3 FGs. Cookus racked up the yards (407) but only found the endzone once. NAU didn’t play Marks but the other receivers stepped up and had a big game.

This loss takes the Hornets out of the BSC title race and puts any playoff hopes on life support. Hornets have to win out to earn a playoff berth. Mitch Strohman (NAU pbp) said Orr was on the record as not having made a decision to extend Sears yet. Interpret that however you want but Sears future here likely depends on whether or not Thomson plays again this season. Hard to see the Hornets running the table without him.
 
Clap on, Clap off.

What a letdown. I think the Hornets will get eviscerated by Davis, so it doesn’t matter what happens in the other two games. Why won’t they say what is wrong with Thomson? Maybe more than an injury? One complaint with this coaching staff is an utter lack of transparency and another is win record. I thought Thomson looked pretty durable in earlier games, appears he is made of glass after all.
 
Oldhornet23 said:
Hornets can win out, should be favored in every game. Thomson traveled with team this week I hear
They can win out with Thomson. Won't happen without him.
 
SDHornet said:
Oldhornet23 said:
Hornets can win out, should be favored in every game. Thomson traveled with team this week I hear
They can win out with Thomson. Won't happen without him.

I expect a victory over Northern Colorado this week, QB out for season and the 0-8 Poly is done. Davis is the biggest challenge. A team that had same result vs NAU 35-7 at halftime and got destroyed by Weber earlier this season 41-3
 

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