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Weekly prediction thread | Game 2

F

Franko

Active member
Idaho State (1-0) at Colorado (1-0)
Folsom Field, Boulder, Colorado
Saturday, Sept. 10, 3:30 p.m.

My prediction …

Colorado 56, Idaho State 0

Last week …

Final score: Idaho State 47, Simon Fraser 3

Read about it here: http://www.idahostatejournal.com/members/isu-football-mixed-bag-positives-and-negatives-abundant-in-bengals/article_4ce72a66-689c-56d4-a5ea-f20dbfe3e36b.html

Winning prediction: biobengal, who pegged ISU for a 45-7 victory

Worst prediction: humble, who chimed in with this: ISU “a lot” and SFU 0 … c’mon, humble … :D

Some observations from ISU-SFU

— The Bengals have virtually no depth at wide receiver

— But there’s all kinds of talent at running back and linebacker

— The offensive line is a real issue, as expected

— Gueller is holding the ball too long in the pocket and taking too many hits

— The defensive line has more depth than I expected. They rotated though nine guys (by my count) in the first half

— Idaho State’s No. 2 cornerback is a glaring weakness. Anthony Ricks is going to be just fine, but Lorenzo Terry III (or his backup, freshman Caleb Brown) are going to get picked on week after week

— Taison Manu is listed at 5-10, 201 pounds, but he’s a terrific tackler … absolutely no fear in that man. Good to see him back

After Week 1 of college football, I thought it’d be fun to re-rank ISU’s final 10 games …

Level I: Stay safe, Tanner Gueller!
1. Colorado
2. Oregon State

Level II: Eastern Washington at North Dakota State is college football’s Game of the Week
3. Eastern Washington
4. Montana

Level III: It’s a dome — we like domes!
5. Northern Arizona

Level IV: Eight tackles for loss on the road at Utah? Impressive showing, T-birds
6. Southern Utah

Level V: #BarneyBall2.0 gave up 445 total yards of offense to DII Central Washington
7. Portland State

Level VI: North Dakota flopped on the road at Stony Brook
8. Weber State
9. North Dakota

Level VII: Let’s win this game!
10. Sacramento State
 
I agree with 50 yr fan. Defense does their job the best they can. And I think we have a throwing TD, a Michael Dean surprise, and a Jakori Ford fighting in. Throw in a field goal when they stop us in the red zone. The Buffs win, 45-24 (kinda a "win" for ISU)
 
BengalBannMan said:
I agree with 50 yr fan. Defense does their job the best they can. And I think we have a throwing TD, a Michael Dean surprise, and a Jakori Ford fighting in. Throw in a field goal when they stop us in the red zone. The Buffs win, 45-24 (kinda a "win" for ISU)
Click to expand...

No fair catches against SFU. Three returns for a total of nine yards. I think we can do better than that. Can you say Michael Dean?
 
Colorado, 41-10

Agree with others' perception of the defense. If we can keep cycling lots of subs like last Saturday, it will help reduce injuries. We'll see, but defense should help us stay reasonably close. I also like sending two back for punt returns. Eventually, it will pay off in getting us better field position.
 
FCS teams actually have the ability to keep the score down when they play overpowering FBS teams. (Hey, if you think you can beat 'em like EWU just did & Appalachian St almost did?... then without question go after it!) But if not, why not mitigate the damage by controlling the clock with a little Ali rope-i-dope? (Running the ball). The success of it is almost irrelevant. And let's assume that if you're out matched on the ground, the same is true for the air.

But the clock burns between plays with running plays. (They can't score when you have the ball), and that little tick tick tick becomes a beautiful sound as their race horses sit in the barn'. Its the incomplete passes with a stopped clock that creates a crazy high score. Running the ball in situations like these is the equivalent of a filibuster back in WA DC. Its kind of a double chess move because they get fewer touches as a result.

If out matched, it's mostly a math equation: Total number of plays they get times average yards per play = score
(Anomalies like fumbles etc. aside)
 
catscratch said:
FCS teams actually have the ability to keep the score down when they play overpowering FBS teams. (Hey, if you think you can beat 'em like EWU just did & Appalachian St almost did?... then without question go after it!) But if not, why not mitigate the damage by controlling the clock with a little Ali rope-i-dope? (Running the ball). The success of it is almost irrelevant. And let's assume that if you're out matched on the ground, the same is true for the air.

But the clock burns between plays with running plays. (They can't score when you have the ball), and that little tick tick tick becomes a beautiful sound as their race horses sit in the barn'. Its the incomplete passes with a stopped clock that creates a crazy high score. Running the ball in situations like these is the equivalent of a filibuster back in WA DC. Its kind of a double chess move because they get fewer touches as a result.

If out matched, it's mostly a math equation: Total number of plays they get times average yards per play = score
(Anomalies like fumbles etc. aside)
Click to expand...

When playing a powerhouse like Colorado you have to mitigate mistakes and keep the ball out of their hands. I completely agree with your strategy by running the ball, winding down the clock and controlling our own mistakes as much as possible. Even a loss can turn into a win when the right strategy is applied and executed.

Kramer said this is the best defense he's worked with in the last 6 years. I think they will hold strong, but our corners will have to step up their game.

32-14 Colorado
 
I was in Rice-Eccles stadium in 2014 when the Bengals went to Utah and lost to the Utes 56-14. As bad as that score sounds I knew, following that game, that the Bengals were a pretty good team. They controlled the line of scrimmage for much of the game on both sides of the ball and the biggest problem they had was on special teams - big surprise- lots of big returns by their return specialist, I think his name was Kaelin Clay. Arias was by far the best QB in that game and I had several Ute fans tell me how impressed they were with the Bengals even though the scoreboard was lopsided.

Fast forward to 2016 ISU vs. Colorado. I think the Bengal defense is better than the 2014 defense, and special teams are much better, but the offense isn't as good. I think we struggle to move the ball but I think our defense keeps it respectable. My prediction is the Bengals lose 42-7 but they come away feeling pretty good about themselves.

Go Bengals!
 
38-14 optimistically. 2 TDs from us 1 of which in garbage time would be being kind. But the way our defense CAN play has me thinking games will be closer all year long.
 
I predict we'll lose 56-7. People here don't realize how good Colorado's defense is -- especially their secondary. We'll probably just have to try to run and throw short passes and still won't be able to do much. Colorado won't show much but won't have to, they'll run a basic vanilla offense.
 
BengalBannMan said:
http://campusinsiders.com/news/colorado-vs-idaho-state-prediction-game-preview-08-29-2016
Click to expand...

That is a GREAT link you attached. What a cool article. They did a really nice job breaking EVERYTHING down. Gosh 36-17 Colorado is there prediction, that is reasonable. A few weeks ago on the season prediction thread I said ISU pulls off the shock of the college football season and beats the MOST OVERRATED TEAM ON THE PLANET. I am sticking with my prediction
 
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