GreatDayToBeAnEagle said:
LDopaPDX said:
It’s a scary game because I think Montana is better than they’ve been in long while. I expect that we’ll score, but not the kind of output we’ve had in the last 3 games. Therefore, it’ll come down to our defense making stops. That’s a tough one, because I’m still of the opinion the D isn’t very good.
I’d rate Montana as a A-grade FCS defense and a B-grade FCS offense. We are an A-grade offense and a C-grade defense. Based on what’s played out so far, Montana should be a favorite even in Cheney.
I don't disagree that Montana will be favored by Vegas in the game. Probably something like 3.5 point favorite. But I do disagree with you, LDopa, about their offense grade. It's more of a C. That quarterback of theirs is pretty awful. He constantly misses throws, can't push the ball down the field, doesn't have good mobility. And really the running game is pretty pedestrian. They have some weapons at WR but a QB that can't involve them. Unless they completely evolve their play calling against us, I don't see that offense being able to expose our pretty shitty D. They'll probably succeed in extending drives and eating up clock, but they'll only be able to do that for so long until the Eags score a few quick ones and build a lead.
So really that's what it's going to take. We can't turn the ball over. We need to be efficient on offense (as we know this team can) and we need to score more than they do. Which I don't worry about. Oh and don't forget EWU has the most experienced and best O line in the Big Sky.
Not to totally disagree here on Cam but Montana does have the ability to push the ball deep. In fact majority of our pass scoring has been deep passes. We put up tons of points in the spring and then could have put up just as many on WIU as you did if we kept passing.
I agree that Cam is not a top QB in the Sky but he is very smart and opposite of what you said…does have mobility. He time and time again has extended plays, ran for key first downs and has kept plays alive to find wide outs. Montana has only had 3 sacks. So 1 a game.
The Montana D is going to have their hands full with EB. Nobody can stop that dude…so I guess we hope to get lucky some and then try and ball control when we do have the ball. I know thats the same strategy most teams have when the face EWU and it’s much easier said than done. Montana has a top 50 rushing offense so, without out top 2 RBs and using a converted WR for 2 games so far this fall.
Overall this has all the makings to be a very very close, tight football game. Ewu is so tough at home. Montana is going to have to play great. No prediction for me, but the keys are obvious.
Montana has the #3 scoring D in FCS Ewu has the #1 offense
Montana has the #34 offense. Ewu has the #70 D.
Montana has to LIMIT Ewu to non video game numbers and keep it looking like football and not track
Ewu has to score…score and score. EWU will still probably give up 28-35 even on a good day vs Montana. So score more than that.
If the game hits the under. Montana wins. If the Game hits the over…Ewu wins. Gonna be exciting.
Surprised Ewu didn’t go with red tho…it’s obviously a huge advantage to wear red when at home….even if it makes one additional QB mistake.