Skippy said:
Finally, I'm just not buying the argument that Montana was an "easy selection" over Idaho State. The Bengals gave EWU a better game than the Griz did, and ISU beat a Cal Poly team that easily dispatched Montana. ISU's only FCS loses were by 3 points and 5 points to ranked teams. Sure, the Griz dominated Montana State a week after ISU lost by 5 to the Bobcats, but that is just one data point. It certainly did not surprise me that Montana was picked over the Bengals, but the idea that it was a "no brainer" is just not supported by fact.
I'm not sure who said it was an "easy selection" and a "no brainer"... I didn't say any of that. My post wasn't about Montana... it was was just pointing out that ISU's own schedule (the 2 lower division teams especially) was their downfall in terms of whether they got into the playoffs or not.
Also the SRS rating system is just one thing that the selection committee uses, much like RPI in the NCAA Basketball tournament. Sometimes teams that look like they should get in get left out due to conference champions taking their spot (who are much lower in RPI or SRS) or other factors like head to head competition, not enough D1 wins, etc.
As Northern Iowa's athletic director (I think it was him anyway) said in a video when discussing the criteria of getting into the playoffs, the number of D1 wins plays a huge factor. With a 12 game schedule 7 D1 wins is an absolute must...8 of course is better. Yeah, 6 is the cutoff but 6 is not likely going to get a team in. The Griz got left out in 2010 because of having only 6 D1 wins.
ISU was one of the bubble teams that was on the edge of getting in as was MSU. It likely came down to D1 wins and the head to head game if the two teams were being compared.
That said, one could still make a VERY good argument that ISU should be in over some of the teams who did get in. ISU has a very good argument for getting in over say... Stephen F. Austin. They were 7-4 (d1) with an SRS of 32 in a fairly weak (minus one team) Southland conference. You could also make a strong argument for ISU getting in over Sam Houston State, who played a D2 team and got absolutely STOMPED by them... They lost 47-21 to Colorado State-Pueblo. It was 47-7 late in the 4th quarter before SHSU got 2 TDs in garbage time. I agree with PBP that those two teams could have easily been replaced by ISU.
Personally I would have had ISU in the playoffs....but I'm a bit biased towards Big Sky teams. I just figured ISU would be left out because of the 2 lower division teams on the schedule giving them only 6 D1 wins.
mvem said:
Also, given all the playoff hopefuls that blew it the past couple weeks, it's highly unlikely that the Griz were even on the bubble. I'm sure Indiana State & Montana State were considered below them, I'm guessing Stephen F. Austin was, and there's a good chance EKU and Richmond were as well.
From what was said on the selection show here were 7 of the "bubble" teams. Three of them got in, four were left out. You are right, it doesn't look like the Griz were a bubble team. The Cats and ISU were. ISU probably should have gotten in over Stephen F. Austin the more I look at things... the 6 d1 win thing killed 'em though
In:
Indiana State (7-5, 4-4 in the MVFC)
Montana State (8-4, 6-2 in the Big Sky)
Stephen F. Austin (8-4, 5-3 in the Southland)
Out:
Bethune-Cookman (9-3, 6-2 in the MEAC)
Idaho State (8-4, 6-2 in the Big Sky)
William & Mary (7-5, 4-4 in the CAA)
Youngstown State (7-5, 4-4 in the MVFC)