Not going to rip on UNCO's winning streak. They went to Cedar and Flagstaff and pulled out a couple of good wins. We had trouble with NAU at home last week, so getting a sweep isn't something to sniff at. I expect the Cats to go on that road trip and get a sweep too. Gotta play better than they did last Thursday to do that.
Anyway, it looks like UNCO is depending on a three guard lineup to do their damage. Their bigs aren't the most talented (we made them look really good), but they are getting enough production from them. I would have expected UND to have beaten UNCO pretty handily, but they ended up losing by 1 on Saturday. UND didn't get a lot of production out of Crandall, which might have been the biggest reason for their loss.
UNCO is using a four guard rotation of Wilson, Johnson, Davis and Anglin to do their damage. If I were Rahe, I would mix up defenses often on the cubbies. Keep them guessing. Start out the game in a 1-3-1 and then go to man after three or four made baskets, and then jump into a 3-2. UNCO is going to use a high screen to roll off of (an attempt at the pick and roll) with our man and try to drive to the hole. If they don't get in, then they will kick it out. I like the 1-3-1 because it will push them away from the arch and force them out of their flow. Their bigs aren't the best athletes, but are decent shooters, so that is the only real concern for me. Tanner Morgan is their best big. I say go right at him all game. We need to stay in front and be able to cut off the drives of the cubbie guards. In Ogden it was a sloppy game with waaay too many fouls. Lots of ticky tack fouls on drives. Frustrating to watch games that come down to foul shooting and that is happening too much in the sky this season. Anyway, I feel mixing up defenses will keep the cubs guessing and will really limit their offensive production.
Of course, we will see Joel doubled all game. I don't understand why Rahe won't pull our other big out a bit and run guards down the middle for easy layups. Maybe Joel can't make the pass to a cutting player? It is easier to make a skip pass for Joel? Who knows...I hate how nobody moves once Joel is doubled. A high screen with a guy cutting into the key seems like a great way to break the double teams. Great passing and movement should do it. But instead, I'm sure we will see three guys camping out on the three point line and a guard trying to guard either Braxton or Hill. Gotta get the ball to one of those guys.
What I think we will see...more full court press, zone, and Joel getting doubled and beat up. Best way to beat Weber.