Preview
The Hornets will be heading into their final home game of the 2010 season coming off of a very impressive rout of 25th ranked NAU. PSU has been struggling this season as expected, however they lost many close games just as the Hornets have and are a very young team. PSU comes into the game 2-6 (1-4) but had 3 close loses vs UM, at MSU, and at WSU. They also knocked off “the farm extension” at their place and steam rolled ISU who just took MSU to the brink last week. This PSU team is much improved with Burton at the helm and is definitely capable of pulling this game off. They are young and have some size on the lines; absolutely under no condition should the coaches and players be overlooking this team that has nothing to lose.
Offense:
The PSU offense is ranked 4th in the BSC with 401.5 ypg of offense. PSU averages 208.3 ypg on the ground (1st BSC) and 192.9 ypg through the air (8th BSC). The posters on the PSU board have indicated that the PSU QB Kavanaugh (2nd team leading rusher) will miss the game due to injury. Their returning QB Hubel has been out for most, if not all of the season and their other QB Howland does not have the rushing ability to make the Pistol offense fully effective. PSU fell behind to EWU early last week and ended up throwing the ball a lot more than they usually do. Howland is 38 of 82 on the season for 434 yards, 0 TD’s and 4 INT’s. Their leading rusher is RB McCaffrey who has 862 yards on 158 carries with 8 TD’s. He is a short, yet quick and elusive back. Their leading receivers are TE Thomas (387 yards on 23 catches for 2 TD’s) and WR Hutter (358 yards on 26 catches for 2 TD’s). The PSU OL has struggled at times and they have allowed 13 sacks. I haven’t seen PSU play aside from a few highlights but the Pistol thrives on misdirection and fooling the defense. They have struggled to hold on to the ball and have thrown 7 INT’s and fumbled 20 times, 12 of which were lost.
The Hornet defense is going to have to stay disciplined and stick to their assignments if they want to contain and shutdown PSU. The Hornet rush defense has been tremendous throughout the season and I expect the LB’s and DL to have a solid game and force some turnovers and disrupt the PSU offense. If the front 7 continues to swarm to the ball and make tackles, they should do just fine this week. The secondary will need to be sure to stick to their assignments and not get caught looking into the backfield. Statistically this team doesn’t have a playmaker at WR (I don’t know what happened to Fry, he was a returning WR who had a lot of yards last season) but that doesn’t mean the secondary should get caught cheating or snoozing. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Schrader moved into the box roving the line of scrimmage to help contain the PSU running attack if the Hornets struggle to contain it.
Defense:
Burton installed the 4-3 at PSU this offseason and it appears as if the team is still making the adjustment. PSU is ranked 9th in the BSC in ypg allowed with 455.6. PSU is allowing an average of 231.4 ypg on the ground (9th BSC) but only 224.3 ypg through the air (3rd BSC). DE Sommer leads PSU with 4 sacks, Folsom native LB’s Rau leads the team with 63 tackles alongside FS Latu who has 61 tackles and leads the team with 3 INT’s. I honestly don’t know much about this defense but they I expect them to play hard and not roll over.
The Hornets are going to need to establish the running game early with Hilliard. PSU has struggled against the run so the Hornets should relentlessly attack their front 7. Sperbeck did an excellent job using the play action to open up the offense through the air and could possibly take that route again, however the NAU front 7 is a lot more capable and aggressive than the PSU front 7. In all honesty, the Hornets should be able to win this game with just their running game; however I hope Fleming can stay on his game and execute the passing attack when called upon. This game will be won by the OL, if they show up, have very few mistakes and make their blocks and execute, this running game should thrive.
Special Teams:
PSU has a solid kicker in Zach Brown. He is accurate from short to midrange and has a strong leg. Brown started the year strong but has since fallen off a bit. He is 12 of 20 on FG’s and all of his misses are from 40 yards or longer. PSU has not allowed a blocked FG so far. PSU’s punter Duyndam is averaging 42.5 ypp and has 7 downed inside the 20. However, PSU lines up in a punting formation similar to EWU and they have allowed 2 blocked punts. PSU’s KR Lewis is averaging 25.4 yards per return and their KR Powell averages 17.1 ypr. Powell only averages 3.9 ypr on punt returns.
Look for the Hornets to go after a punt in this game. The Hornets exploited the EWU blocking scheme and they will most likely be able to exploit it again this week. Also with the suspect kick coverage, the Hornets need to keep the ball away from Lewis. He has already returned a kick for a TD this season. There is no reason to even let him touch the ball based on what I have seen from the kick coverage this season. As usually, the Hornets have a slight advantage with Diniz although Brown is more than capable of knocking down a FG from reasonable range. The special teams will be something to watch this game. It should have an impact on the field position battle.
Intangibles:
PSU is tied with WSU for the most penalized team in the BSC with 68. Those 68 penalties have cost the 560 yards. They also struggle with turnovers. This is typical of a team this inexperienced. The Hornets cleaned up their act significantly last week and they will need to maintain that discipline so that drives aren’t stalled due to penalties. If the Hornets play sloppy, they could very well allow PSU to hang around, and we all know what could happen if the Hornets allow that to happen.
The Hornets should win this game but it won’t be a cake walk. If the Hornets play like they did last week, they should have no problem pulling this one out. Being that this is the last home game; the Hornets need to go out with a bang so that the recruits that are sure to be in attendance will be impressed with this program and commit on the spot. Take care of business Hornets, finish the season strong, it all starts this week when PSU comes to town.
GO HORNETS!!!
The Hornets will be heading into their final home game of the 2010 season coming off of a very impressive rout of 25th ranked NAU. PSU has been struggling this season as expected, however they lost many close games just as the Hornets have and are a very young team. PSU comes into the game 2-6 (1-4) but had 3 close loses vs UM, at MSU, and at WSU. They also knocked off “the farm extension” at their place and steam rolled ISU who just took MSU to the brink last week. This PSU team is much improved with Burton at the helm and is definitely capable of pulling this game off. They are young and have some size on the lines; absolutely under no condition should the coaches and players be overlooking this team that has nothing to lose.
Offense:
The PSU offense is ranked 4th in the BSC with 401.5 ypg of offense. PSU averages 208.3 ypg on the ground (1st BSC) and 192.9 ypg through the air (8th BSC). The posters on the PSU board have indicated that the PSU QB Kavanaugh (2nd team leading rusher) will miss the game due to injury. Their returning QB Hubel has been out for most, if not all of the season and their other QB Howland does not have the rushing ability to make the Pistol offense fully effective. PSU fell behind to EWU early last week and ended up throwing the ball a lot more than they usually do. Howland is 38 of 82 on the season for 434 yards, 0 TD’s and 4 INT’s. Their leading rusher is RB McCaffrey who has 862 yards on 158 carries with 8 TD’s. He is a short, yet quick and elusive back. Their leading receivers are TE Thomas (387 yards on 23 catches for 2 TD’s) and WR Hutter (358 yards on 26 catches for 2 TD’s). The PSU OL has struggled at times and they have allowed 13 sacks. I haven’t seen PSU play aside from a few highlights but the Pistol thrives on misdirection and fooling the defense. They have struggled to hold on to the ball and have thrown 7 INT’s and fumbled 20 times, 12 of which were lost.
The Hornet defense is going to have to stay disciplined and stick to their assignments if they want to contain and shutdown PSU. The Hornet rush defense has been tremendous throughout the season and I expect the LB’s and DL to have a solid game and force some turnovers and disrupt the PSU offense. If the front 7 continues to swarm to the ball and make tackles, they should do just fine this week. The secondary will need to be sure to stick to their assignments and not get caught looking into the backfield. Statistically this team doesn’t have a playmaker at WR (I don’t know what happened to Fry, he was a returning WR who had a lot of yards last season) but that doesn’t mean the secondary should get caught cheating or snoozing. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Schrader moved into the box roving the line of scrimmage to help contain the PSU running attack if the Hornets struggle to contain it.
Defense:
Burton installed the 4-3 at PSU this offseason and it appears as if the team is still making the adjustment. PSU is ranked 9th in the BSC in ypg allowed with 455.6. PSU is allowing an average of 231.4 ypg on the ground (9th BSC) but only 224.3 ypg through the air (3rd BSC). DE Sommer leads PSU with 4 sacks, Folsom native LB’s Rau leads the team with 63 tackles alongside FS Latu who has 61 tackles and leads the team with 3 INT’s. I honestly don’t know much about this defense but they I expect them to play hard and not roll over.
The Hornets are going to need to establish the running game early with Hilliard. PSU has struggled against the run so the Hornets should relentlessly attack their front 7. Sperbeck did an excellent job using the play action to open up the offense through the air and could possibly take that route again, however the NAU front 7 is a lot more capable and aggressive than the PSU front 7. In all honesty, the Hornets should be able to win this game with just their running game; however I hope Fleming can stay on his game and execute the passing attack when called upon. This game will be won by the OL, if they show up, have very few mistakes and make their blocks and execute, this running game should thrive.
Special Teams:
PSU has a solid kicker in Zach Brown. He is accurate from short to midrange and has a strong leg. Brown started the year strong but has since fallen off a bit. He is 12 of 20 on FG’s and all of his misses are from 40 yards or longer. PSU has not allowed a blocked FG so far. PSU’s punter Duyndam is averaging 42.5 ypp and has 7 downed inside the 20. However, PSU lines up in a punting formation similar to EWU and they have allowed 2 blocked punts. PSU’s KR Lewis is averaging 25.4 yards per return and their KR Powell averages 17.1 ypr. Powell only averages 3.9 ypr on punt returns.
Look for the Hornets to go after a punt in this game. The Hornets exploited the EWU blocking scheme and they will most likely be able to exploit it again this week. Also with the suspect kick coverage, the Hornets need to keep the ball away from Lewis. He has already returned a kick for a TD this season. There is no reason to even let him touch the ball based on what I have seen from the kick coverage this season. As usually, the Hornets have a slight advantage with Diniz although Brown is more than capable of knocking down a FG from reasonable range. The special teams will be something to watch this game. It should have an impact on the field position battle.
Intangibles:
PSU is tied with WSU for the most penalized team in the BSC with 68. Those 68 penalties have cost the 560 yards. They also struggle with turnovers. This is typical of a team this inexperienced. The Hornets cleaned up their act significantly last week and they will need to maintain that discipline so that drives aren’t stalled due to penalties. If the Hornets play sloppy, they could very well allow PSU to hang around, and we all know what could happen if the Hornets allow that to happen.
The Hornets should win this game but it won’t be a cake walk. If the Hornets play like they did last week, they should have no problem pulling this one out. Being that this is the last home game; the Hornets need to go out with a bang so that the recruits that are sure to be in attendance will be impressed with this program and commit on the spot. Take care of business Hornets, finish the season strong, it all starts this week when PSU comes to town.
GO HORNETS!!!