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Week 6: Sac State @ Northern Colorado

SDHornet

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Staff member
Week 6: Sac State @ Northern Colorado

The Hornets have yet another game on the road and this one is after a hard fought battle at a top ranked MSU. This week has the Hornets heading to Greeley to take on the Northern Colorado Bears. UNC has had a downright awful season so far and hopefully the Hornets keep that going for them. Having said that, the Hornets can’t just show up and expect UNC to roll over.

Offense
Northern Colorado runs a no huddle spread. This could give the Hornets some problems if their QB (Lobato, unless they make a change) gets in a rhythm. Lobato is mobile but has been inconsistent with his passing (sound familiar). The Hornets DL needs to control the line of scrimmage and contain their QB so he doesn’t create plays with his legs. They have struggled to run the ball so the defense will need to keep that under wraps as well. UNC’s team stats and statistical leaders:
  • • Rushing attack: 76.6 ypg
    • Passing Attack: 188.4 ypg
    • Lobato, QB: 77 of 138 for 783 yards, 7 TD’s, 6 INT’s, 31 carries for 52 yards
    • Hildreth, RB: 66 carries for 244 yards, 2 TD’s, 9 recs for 37 yards
    • Walker, WR: 32 recs for 332 yards, 4 TD’s
    • Morris, WR: 21 recs for 184 yards, 2 TD’s
    • Gunn, WR: 11 recs for 115 yards, 1 TD
    • OL: Allowed 14 sacks
    • Avg TOP: 24:59
UNC has some capable receivers so they can get open and make plays, however their OL has been terrible and they have no running game to speak of. Nash and the rest of the DL need and should have a big day. If the front 4 can’t get to the QB, the Hornets need to blitz and do what they can to harass and disrupt any rhythm this struggling offense may find. What I don’t want to see is a pussified zone this week. I fear that without any pressure generated up front, this spread attack can pick apart our weak zone defense. The defense also needs to avoid giving up any big yardage plays. The Hornet defense is more than capable of shutting the UNC attack down and they need to do just that.

Defense
UNC runs a 4-3 and they have had their struggles on this side of the ball as well. They are soft up front and have allowed lots of yardage through the air. This is a young defense and they have been beaten up on so far this season. This defense has made 5 INT’s and forced 11 fumbles, 5 of which have been recoved by UNC. UNC’s defensive stats:
  • • Rushing allowed: 158.2 ypg
    • Passing allowed: 329.8 ypg
    • Bumpas, LB: 59 tackles, 3 TFL’s, 1 sack
    • Gibbons, S: 41 tackles, 4 TFL’s, 3 sacks, 1 INT
    • Nweke, SS: 41 tackles, 1.5 TFL’s
    • Friend, LB: 37 tackles, 2 TFL’s, 1 sack, 2 INT’s
    • Dorsey, FS: 33 tackles, 1.5 TFL’s, 1 sack, 1 INT
    • Owens, CB: 27 tackles, 1.5 TFL’s
    • Chapple, DE: 22 tackles, 7 TFL’s, 5 sacks
    • Riggins, CB: 20 tackles, 2 TFL’s
    • Smith, DL: 19 tackles, 1 TFL, 1 sack
    • Felker, DT: 18 tackles, 3.5 TFL’s, 1 sack
    • Hall, CB: 18 tackles, 1.5 TFL’s
    • Holmes, DT: 16 tackles, 2 TFL’s, 0.5 sacks, 1 INT
The Hornet offense just needs to come out and punch UNC right in the mouth. The OL needs to make a statement early and control the line of scrimmage. I wouldn’t be shocked if Sperbeck goes with a heavy run game plan, however this defense has been susceptible through the air so the Hornets need to be efficient when passing the ball. The Hornets needs to jump on UNC early and often and put this one away. They can’t let UNC hang around so the Hornets will need to execute inside the redzone.

Special Teams
I’m not really sure what UNC brings to the table in this category. Gunn is a speedster who took one to the house on a kick return last week so the kick cover team will need to not have any lapses this week. UNC’s season stats:
  • • Eden, K: 4/4 FG’s, 13/13 PAT’s, FG long of 42 yards
    • Kama, P: 38 punts for 1,444 yards (38.0 ypp), 8 Inside 20, 1 TB
    • Gunn, PR/KR: 6 pr’s for 28 yards (4.7 ypr), 13 kr’s for 357 yards (27.5 ypr)
    • Walker, KR: 5 kr’s for 97 yards (19.4 ypr)
    • Kick Coverage: Allowed 16 returns for 392 yards (24.5 ypr)
    • Punt Coverage: Allowed 12 returns for 200 yards (16.7 ypr)
The Hornets cover teams will need to make sure they contain Gunn. Given that UNC has some offensive struggles, there is no need to make their job easier by giving up some good field position. UNC will have the edge in the kicking department (as will every opponent this season given Diniz2’s abysmal performance thus far). I’d like to see the Hornets block a punt or 2 this week.

Intangibles
UNC has committed 38 penalties for 301 yards so far (60.2 ypg). That’s not too bad considering how badly this team has performed so far this season. Their turnover ratio is close to even so their defense seems to wipe out any offensive giveaways.
I have no idea what their injury situation is.

Hornetsports preview:
Not yet released.

The Hornets have never lost to UNC. Never. They shouldn’t lose this one if the Hornets show up and play a full 60 minutes. Two years ago the Hornets swarmed into Greeley, jumped out to an early lead and nearly pissed the game down their leg as UNC came roaring back to almost pull an amazing comeback. Given the wide open style of play this UNC offense utilizes, they have the potential to put up points quick. The Hornets need to keep their foot on the pedal for the entire game and take it to UNC on both sides of the ball. If the Hornets have another road no-show, they could very well lose this game. The Hornets have a much needed bye after this week so there is no reason why their full attention isn’t on the Bears.

Go Hornets!
 
Fantastic preview sir! At least we get to close with four of five at home to finish off the year!

SAC 38
UNC 21
 
Kadeezy said:
Fantastic preview sir! At least we get to close with four of five at home to finish off the year!

SAC 38
UNC 21

Note that I'm including a MADE FG!











(or 4 missed XPs)
 
Kadeezy said:
Kadeezy said:
Fantastic preview sir! At least we get to close with four of five at home to finish off the year!

SAC 38
UNC 21

Note that I'm including a MADE FG!









(or 4 missed XPs)



A made field goal is a bold prediction. Do you know something I don't know, like a new kicker coming in? The 4 missed xp are a more likely scenario with our current kicking game.
 
FINALLY! This Saturday I will be able to watch a live broadcast of Hornets football ! I'm looking forward to it! And as soon as it's over, I'm driving south to SD from Pasadena to cheer on the SDSU against TCU at The Q. Go Aztecs and Go Hornets!
 
SDHornet said:
My random score prediction: 42-21 Us.

I’ll won’t be near a computer this weekend so I hope we pull this one out.

Hornetsports preview:
http://www.hornetsports.com/sports/football/release.asp?release_id=9899


i'm with you on the prediction, SD. based on their BigSky games (20-50 at ISU, 21-45 v Weber, 28-55 at Montana), i would predict a 3 TD win unless the Hornets just self-destruct. even then, you should win without too much worry.
 
Need to play four quarters of intense aggressive football. These guys almost pulled a punk on us a few years ago with a fury 2nd half explosion by the Bears and meltdown by the Hornets.

The Bears have absolutely nothing to lose.
 
L.A.HornetsFan said:
FINALLY! This Saturday I will be able to watch a live broadcast of Hornets football ! I'm looking forward to it! And as soon as it's over, I'm driving south to SD from Pasadena to cheer on the SDSU against TCU at The Q. Go Aztecs and Go Hornets!

That Aztec-Horny Toad matchup will be sweet.
 
Weather conditions are apparently horrible in Greely with strong winds, rain and cold. Reminiscent of Da is last year....dont like this one bit. Bad weather tends to even disparities between teams
 
Deadder and Reed sidelined with serious injuries according to Sperbeck. Did not make trip to Greeley, CO.
 
Is anyone else having issues in having Big Sky TV load?

At least Im listening to Jason and Steve.
UNC's video guys are having their issues :roll:
 
SactoHornetAlum said:
Is anyone else having issues in having Big Sky TV load?

The feed keeps cutting in and out. Crappy stadium, crappy weather, crappy video... makes sense...
 

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