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Where else does Montana lose?

W

WeberSki

Active member
We know we'll handle them in style on Valentines Day.

RPIForecast:
http://www.rpiforecast.com/teams/Montana.html
1-31 Portland St. (298.2) BSky A 0-0 65% 4.2
2-2 Eastern Washington (318.6) BSky A 0-0 72% 6.4
2-7 Northern Colorado (292.4) BSky H 0-0 83% 10.4
2-9 North Dakota (266.3) BSky H 0-0 85% 11.3
2-14 Weber St. (117.9) BSky A 0-0 28% -6.3
2-16 Idaho St. (324.8) BSky A 0-0 79% 9.1
3-2 Montana St. (280.6) BSky A 0-0 66% 4.4
3-4 Southern Utah (293.0) BSky A 0-0 70% 5.7
3-7 Sacramento St. (249.8) BSky H 0-0 83% 10.3
3-9 Northern Arizona (259.3) BSky H 0-0 91% 14.5
 
They will lose atleast 1 of these:

@ PSU only 65% of winning
@ EWU only 72% of winning
@ MSU only 66% of winning
@ SUU only 70% of winning
 
We have already played the 4 tougher road games that UM still has to play.

As far as the tiebreaker rule goes, we should probably be pulling for MSU to take 3rd, just in case Griz lose to one of the other 3, & not in Bozo. If we win out, & UM loses to us & 1 more we own tiebreaker based off of 1 less loss.
 
WeberSki said:
Lennay Kekua said:
Well as a Griz fan I can just say I'm hoping that the 14th is another Griz win, and no other losses :thumb:
Click to expand...

Odds are not in your favor Lennay. 28% chance.
Click to expand...
Thankfully the odds haven't been introduced to Mr. Cherry or Mr. Jamar :-D Those guys just have a crazy desire to win, so I still like our chances haha
 
Montana's 4 toughest games besides in Ogden, happen to be grouped together back to back.

March 2 in Bozeman, & March 4 in Cedar City will be brutal. Keep an eye on these 2. I wish they played EWU Thursday & PSU Saturday.
 
Griz have won 6 of the last 8 against Weber. I'm not sure if I were a Weber fan that I'd necessarily draw hearts all over the calendar on Feb 14th quite yet....
 
Out of curiosity because I love statistics, where did you come up with the 28% chance number. I may just be obliviously missing something, but I am actually kind of curious.
 
Lennay Kekua said:
Out of curiosity because I love statistics, where did you come up with the 28% chance number. I may just be obliviously missing something, but I am actually kind of curious.
Click to expand...

see the first post in this thread, based on the rpi forecast.
 
As far as the tiebreaker rule goes, we should probably be pulling for MSU to take 3rd, just in case Griz lose to one of the other 3, & not in Bozo.
Click to expand...

Actually, you have this backward. If the Griz lose to Weber and someone other than msu, and the bobcats finish 3rd, UM would have the tie-break over Weber. The BSC uses head to head (a split) and then compares how each team did against the others in the conference, beginning from the top. The first team used would be msu, and UM would be 2-0, Weber would be 1-1. You've actually got to hope that UM loses in bozo or that another team that beats them finishes higher than msu.
 
I dont see griz going 20-0. Onky two big sky teams have ever gone undefeated, weber 15-0, 1969, weber 14-0, 2003. 20-0 woukd be pretty amazing. Big sky is bad this year but its just so many games to win. Its doable but unlikely. They beat us by 2 and beat the bobs in overtime. We did have some close ones in 2003 though.

Last yr's griz team could do 20-0 this yr.
,
I like our chances in Ogden, we are 41-14 vs griz in ogden. I dont see other game as a griz loss but I thnk they will do zomething like we did in bozeman or in poca last yr, lose a random game.

Is it correct our last reg season home griz loss was 2003-04? Rahe is 6-0 vs Wayne.
 
Hell...I'm afraid of this weeks games for the Cats. Who cares where the F Montana is playing...all I care about is what the Cats are doing. UND and UNCO are playing a hell of a lot better than they were a month ago and Grand Forks isn't an easy place to play especially now that Huff is playing better. i still think the Cats win, but it isn't going to be easy. And we all know how the buttcock is a hard place to play in. I'm hoping for a Wildcat sweep this week. UM has two of the easier road games this week.

Oh, Weber still has to play in Flagstaff and SAC. Granted, due to a horrible call, UM was able to get out of Sac with a W.
 
I totally agree with Tal. I think we are getting a little ahead of ourselves to worry about UM right now. It will be really tough to go 2-0 on this road trip. If we can, then it may be time to look into our collective crystal balls and start predicting the future, but for now, we gotta win those two games.
 
This goes for both of our teams. I wouldn't get too worked up over Portland. They're what, 3-7? 4-6? I forget. But regardless, they pretty well suck, and home court means nothing in that junior high gym. My high school gym would've put it to shame, which is sad. However, I do worry about Eastern. More for Montana, but also for Weber for 2 reasons.
1. That freshman Forward/Center. He is a beast that just finds ways to score and keep things interesting.
2. Eastern just seems to have an innate ability to win games they just aren't supposed to. This goes for football and basketball both. How they do it, I don't know- but it drives me insane.
I also really don't see MSU doing too well, but I could of course be wrong. I honestly believe that they are just on a small hot streak that will soon revert to it's old ways. Much like your guys' Montana trip. That doesn't describe Weber basketball, just a below average game at MSU and a great game that could've gone either way at UM. I don't see that continuing either ;-)
 
Lennay Kekua said:
This goes for both of our teams. I wouldn't get too worked up over Portland. They're what, 3-7? 4-6? I forget. But regardless, they pretty well suck, and home court means nothing in that junior high gym. My high school gym would've put it to shame, which is sad. However, I do worry about Eastern. More for Montana, but also for Weber for 2 reasons.
1. That freshman Forward/Center. He is a beast that just finds ways to score and keep things interesting.
2. Eastern just seems to have an innate ability to win games they just aren't supposed to. This goes for football and basketball both. How they do it, I don't know- but it drives me insane.
I also really don't see MSU doing too well, but I could of course be wrong. I honestly believe that they are just on a small hot streak that will soon revert to it's old ways. Much like your guys' Montana trip. That doesn't describe Weber basketball, just a below average game at MSU and a great game that could've gone either way at UM. I don't see that continuing either ;-)
Click to expand...

Weber already Swept the Pacific Northwest Road trip.
 
Bluefin said:
Lennay Kekua said:
This goes for both of our teams. I wouldn't get too worked up over Portland. They're what, 3-7? 4-6? I forget. But regardless, they pretty well suck, and home court means nothing in that junior high gym. My high school gym would've put it to shame, which is sad. However, I do worry about Eastern. More for Montana, but also for Weber for 2 reasons.
1. That freshman Forward/Center. He is a beast that just finds ways to score and keep things interesting.
2. Eastern just seems to have an innate ability to win games they just aren't supposed to. This goes for football and basketball both. How they do it, I don't know- but it drives me insane.
I also really don't see MSU doing too well, but I could of course be wrong. I honestly believe that they are just on a small hot streak that will soon revert to it's old ways. Much like your guys' Montana trip. That doesn't describe Weber basketball, just a below average game at MSU and a great game that could've gone either way at UM. I don't see that continuing either ;-)
Click to expand...

Weber already Swept the Pacific Northwest Road trip.
Click to expand...
Huh, I was under the impression you guys still had to play EWU again :oops: My bad!
 
Although after thinking for a while, I'm pretty sure I'm correct. After the Montana game we had both played 10 of 20 conference games, making it half way through. That would mean the circuit needed to be gone through again. As a matter of fact, you play them again March 7th and 9th. I simply mentioned home court from the Griz perspective, but as I said, I was talking about both teams. So...I was just saying for when you guys play them again that Eastern would be the one that I wouldn't write off. :)
 
As a Griz fan, frankly I'm terrified of all the road games. I think this weekend is big, just because it comes on the heals of wins over two big rivals, and that's a bad recipe for a let-down. Obviously I'm worried about the Weber/ISU trip. It's not an easy one to begin with logistically, and when you throw in the D that ISU can play and the fact that you know Evans would love to beat Montana, and that's a worriesome trip.

The msu game is always difficult in bozo town, and this year they actually seem to have some guys who want to play (although now that it's the 2nd half of the season, let's see if they hit their usual February Funk). Then two days later, UM has to go to SUU. That's a team the Griz should paste, but I know it's a pretty difficult place to play. Then UM has to return home for two games, playing 4 conference games in a 7 day period. That seems to happen every year to the Griz. I'm not sure who makes up the schedules, but they sure seem to enjoy sticking it to Montana.

So, honestly? I don't feel very comfortable about many of the games left on the schedule.

(In the interest of full disclosure, as a huge fan, I'd be stressed if the Griz had nothing but 8th grade junior varsity teams remaining...).
 
everettgriz said:
As a Griz fan, frankly I'm terrified of all the road games. I think this weekend is big, just because it comes on the heals of wins over two big rivals, and that's a bad recipe for a let-down. Obviously I'm worried about the Weber/ISU trip. It's not an easy one to begin with logistically, and when you throw in the D that ISU can play and the fact that you know Evans would love to beat Montana, and that's a worriesome trip.

The msu game is always difficult in bozo town, and this year they actually seem to have some guys who want to play (although now that it's the 2nd half of the season, let's see if they hit their usual February Funk). Then two days later, UM has to go to SUU. That's a team the Griz should paste, but I know it's a pretty difficult place to play. Then UM has to return home for two games, playing 4 conference games in a 7 day period. That seems to happen every year to the Griz. I'm not sure who makes up the schedules, but they sure seem to enjoy sticking it to Montana.

So, honestly? I don't feel very comfortable about many of the games left on the schedule.

(In the interest of full disclosure, as a huge fan, I'd be stressed if the Griz had nothing but 8th grade junior varsity teams remaining...).
Click to expand...
I think the only team I would immediately write off if we played them is Missoula Sentinel Varsity :lol:
 
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