Which scenario do you think will play out?

[Waldo2]

Scenario 1: Montana wins out and beats PSU and EWU on the road. Also, UNC wins out. Montana ends up hosting the Big Sky tournament. Does not matter what other teams do as they hold the tie breakers over UNC. Weber and NAU would host first round games.

Scenario 2: UNC wins out and beats NAU, ISU, and Sac. Montana loses one of their remaining games. UNC hosts the tournament. Weber would get a first round bye. Montana and NAU would host first round games.

Scenario 3: Montana and UNC both lose a game. Weber wins out resulting in a 3 way tie for the Big Sky regular season crown. Weber hosts as we hold the tie breakers. Montana takes second and gets first round bye. UNC and NAU host first round games.

Scenario 4: Montana loses a game, UNC wins all 3 games. Thus, UNC would be #1 and hosts. Weber would be #2 and get a bye in first round. Montana and NAU host first round games at home.

Scenario 5. UNC loses 1 or more games and Montana wins out. Montana would be #1 and host. Weber # 2 and get the first round bye. UNC and NAU host first round games at home.

Scenario 6. Weber loses .... (never mind - this will not happen as this team is really clicking right now on defense). The San Joser game does not really count here- that game did not matter to WSU and thus they didn't show up and play with intensity at that game. My personal opinion is that Rahe "allowed" the team to lose this one to release some pressure on a team with a 6 game winning streak and allow them to taste defeat again - keep them hungry. This will help them get the "good look in their eyes"

My personal opinion is that scenario 1 will happen. The second most likely outcome is for scenario 2 to play out. Obviously, as a Weber fan, I would like scenario 3 to play out.
Go Cats, Go Vikings, Go Eagles, Go Hornets, Go Bengals, and Go Lumberjacks! :dance:

 

[heyoh22]

Waldo, if I was betting, the surest thing would be scenario 1 based on play so far. I don't relish the weather possibilities or expense of getting to Missoula for the tournament....so I would prefer that UNC hosts (Scenario 2.)

The best solution is #3. Weber hosts! Unfortunately, others have to help this to happen.

Our guys just need to work on winning out the remaining games, and they are playing their best at the right time.

Let's hope that EWU or PSU takes it to MT and that NAU pulls off the upset in Greeley, or that ISU after being shellacked by Weber, rises up to beat UNC in Potatoville. Conference tournament in Ogden sounds pretty good to me!

 

[weberwildcat]

Whoever finishes 3rd place will host Montana State and the 4th place team will host Eastern Washington. EWU and MSU will play each other to decide who gets 5th place this week. UM and NCU will both lose one more game. Montana will not win both road games left.

@ Northern Colorado L 63-45
@ Sacramento State W 68-52
@ Idaho State W 75-65
@ Montana State W 79-58
@ Weber State L 68-52
@ Northern Arizona L 70-53
@ Portland State
@ Eastern Washington

 

[oldrunner]

Of the two, UNC has the best chance of winning out. Its a long shot, but I hope NAU can go in there and pull off that long shot. I think Montana will drop at least one of these games. They have not played well on the road this year.

 

[n.ogdencat]

I'm thinking that if anyone loses another game its going to be Montana. They haven't looked particularly good on the road, and they have trouble with teams that are quick, guard heavy, and shoot a high percentage of 3's.

Eitherway though, I think it would rock having another game at the Dee, but getting the #2 seed wouldn't be a bad thing; especially if the game was being played in Colorado. UNC isn't use to the stadium that they would have to play at. Kinda reminds me of the 2005 tourny when PSU played at Memorial Stadium and ended up getting beat by Jamal and Co. PSU was very strong at the Stott, but not so much at Memorial. I think there is a chance the same thing could happen at the Budweiser Center.

 

[WILDCAT]

Scenario # 2

I think UNC wins out and Montana slips up on the road. UNC hosts and both UNC and WSU get first round byes, UM and NAU host first round games.

But what I want is unless scenario 3 happens, I want scenario 1 to happen, there is nothing wrong with an extra home game, and going into the semi's (with as hot as we are right now) already having played a game.

 

[weberwildcat]

Post Season 1
1. UM
2. UNC

1st rd: 6. MSU at 3. WSU
1st rd: 5. EWU at 4. NAU

7. PSU
8. Sac
9. ISU

semi: 3. WSU vs 2. UNC
semi: 4. NAU vs 1. UM

Poast Season 2
UNC and UM both lose lose one game and we win out.

1. WSU
2. UM

1st rd: 6. MSU at 3. UNC
1st rd: 5. EWU at 4. NAU

7. PSU
8. Sac
9. ISU

semi: 3. UNC vs 2. UM
semi: 4. NAU vs 1. WSU


so i see the same outcome whether us or UNC finishes 2nd or 3rd. I only see a difference if we get 1st in my tourney predictions.

 

[oldrunner]

We will know everything we need to know after Saturday night's games. I agree 100% with Tal on the whole situation. No matter how it all plays out, I like our chances of winning it all. The way we are playing defense, we have a chance aywhere we play. Our guard play has been good, but the biggest improvement we have made is on our interior defense.

 

[WSUnPurple1]

Re: Which scenario do you think will play out?
by oldrunner » Thu Feb 24, 2011 10:13 am
We will know everything we need to know after Saturday night's games.


We may not know by Saturday. If Montana drops one, and NAU can't pull it out. I don't think it's a gimme in Pokey for Northern Colorado Monday night. Saturday to Monday turnaround After playing a tough NAU team, and hitting the road against ISU fighting for their playoff lives.

It would behoove Jeff Tingey to offer 200 free tickets, and free parking to Weber fans willing to make the drive and sit us behind the Bears bench. Tal will be handing out vuvuzelas......


ISU's last 6 games
ISU lost to EWU by 2
Lost to Montana big in Missoula
ISU beat PSU
ISU beat NAU
ISU beat Fullerton
WSU clobbered them

 

[WILDCAT]

We may not know by Saturday. If Montana drops one, and NAU can't pull it out. I don't think it's a gimme in Pokey for Northern Colorado Monday night. Saturday to Monday turnaround After playing a tough NAU team, and hitting the road against ISU fighting for their playoff lives.

It would behoove Jeff Tingey to offer 200 free tickets, and free parking to Weber fans willing to make the drive and sit us behind the Bears bench. Tal will be handing out vuvuzelas......


ISU's last 6 games
ISU lost to EWU by 2
Lost to Montana big in Missoula
ISU beat PSU
ISU beat NAU
ISU beat Fullerton
WSU clobbered them

As hard as it is for me to root for ISU, I would go up and cheer for them against UNC at this point. :lol:

 

[oldrunner]

I'm not giving ISU a snowballs chance in he!! of pulling off the upset on Monday. I think they have quit for the year. I do think that NAU has a chance to do the dirty deed for us. Also, I wouldn't be a bit supprised to see PSU pull off a win tonight. What I was really hoping for is an NAU win and then to have Busma step on Beitzel's foot. :lol:
:kisswink: Just kidding. I don't want him out. Maybe just slowed down a bit.

 

[heyoh22]

Tough schedule for NAU, playing tonight at Sac State and then having to travel to Greeley for Saturday night game.
Hope they can bring the energy to beat UNC at home....it's been a tought thing to do this seawson, but there is always a good time for the first time!

For Montana, two games back to back on the road, both teams have been tough at home, and MT has had their road challenges.

All you Cat fans, say your prayers that the basketball gods smile on the Cats and help us to eke out a tie so we can host!

 

[weberwildcat]

l you Cat fans, say your prayers that the basketball gods smile on the Cats and help us to eke out a tie so we can host!

We can bet bengalhater will be praying to the golden gods of mount dew that we host this year!

 

[purplefogdog]

I bet bengalhater doesn't care about hosting, I want an extra home game, this team is just too fun to watch.

 

[WSUnPurple1]

I'm not giving ISU a snowballs chance in he!! of pulling off the upset on Monday. I think they have quit for the year. I do think that NAU has a chance to do the dirty deed for us. Also, I wouldn't be a bit supprised to see PSU pull off a win tonight. What I was really hoping for is an NAU win and then to have Busma step on Beitzel's foot. :lol:
:kisswink: Just kidding. I don't want him out. Maybe just slowed down a bit.

Sure ISU can beat NoCo, they beat NAU who we are all hoping can go into Greeley and inflict some pain. The quick turnaround, travel, Saturday to Monday night games might affect NoCo, and we need the ISU team that scored 90 on NAU not the one that scored 39 on WSU to show up.

 

[purplefogdog]

I'm not giving ISU a snowballs chance in he!! of pulling off the upset on Monday. I think they have quit for the year. I do think that NAU has a chance to do the dirty deed for us. Also, I wouldn't be a bit supprised to see PSU pull off a win tonight. What I was really hoping for is an NAU win and then to have Busma step on Beitzel's foot. :lol:
:kisswink: Just kidding. I don't want him out. Maybe just slowed down a bit.

I DON'T WANT TO WISH ANYTHING ON BEITZEL OF HIM BREAKING HIS FOOT OR ANYTHING, BUT I HOPE BEARS2010 BREAKS HIS FOOT. LOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOL!!!


Sure ISU can beat NoCo, they beat NAU who we are all hoping can go into Greeley and inflict some pain. The quick turnaround, travel, Saturday to Monday night games might affect NoCo, and we need the ISU team that scored 90 on NAU not the one that scored 39 on WSU to show up.

DUDE, DON'T YOU WANNA WATCH WSU PLAY AT HOME ONE LAST TIME... DON'T YOU WANNA WATCH A TEAM PLAY THAT HAS SUFFOCATING DEFENSE AND BRINGS WINS... I SURE AS HECK DO!!!

 

[WSUnPurple1]

I'm not giving ISU a snowballs chance in he!! of pulling off the upset on Monday. I think they have quit for the year. I do think that NAU has a chance to do the dirty deed for us. Also, I wouldn't be a bit supprised to see PSU pull off a win tonight. What I was really hoping for is an NAU win and then to have Busma step on Beitzel's foot. :lol:
:kisswink: Just kidding. I don't want him out. Maybe just slowed down a bit.

I DON'T WANT TO WISH ANYTHING ON BEITZEL OF HIM BREAKING HIS FOOT OR ANYTHING, BUT I HOPE BEARS2010 BREAKS HIS FOOT. LOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOL!!!


Sure ISU can beat NoCo, they beat NAU who we are all hoping can go into Greeley and inflict some pain. The quick turnaround, travel, Saturday to Monday night games might affect NoCo, and we need the ISU team that scored 90 on NAU not the one that scored 39 on WSU to show up.

DUDE, DON'T YOU WANNA WATCH WSU PLAY AT HOME ONE LAST TIME... DON'T YOU WANNA WATCH A TEAM PLAY THAT HAS SUFFOCATING DEFENSE AND BRINGS WINS... I SURE AS HECK DO!!!

Whos gives a catcat hump ( :bananahump: ) about the first round game. I would rather try to Host even though that is slim, or take 2nd place.

 

[weberwildcat]

um, unc, wsu, nau are all in. 2 more teams to get in and it should likely be ewu and msu. we should know on sat.

saturday night:
um at ewu
nau at unc
wsu at sac
msu at psu

if msu beats psu they are in. i believe we wouldnt know who the 6th team is til next week or monday.

though there will still be 5 big sky games remaining we should know what we need to know this sat.

remaining big sky games:

monday: unc at isu
wed:
psu at nau
isu at msu
sac at unc
ewu at wsu

 

[WILDCAT]

I now believe Montana wins out, and so does UNC and Weber. And thanks to a 40 ft SCOTTIE B 3 UNC will not host.

 

[ClarkWGrizwald]

Just curious why everyone is saying Montana has been a poor team on the road? They've got the best road record in the conference, both for conference and non-conference games. Granted, they haven't been world-beaters on the road, but neither has anyone else.