marceagfan5
Active member
LDopaPDX said:Here's what I learned when I should have been working:
When the committee released their poll two weeks ago, we were #9. Since that time, four of the teams in front of us have lost (James Madison, UC Davis, Elon, and Wofford). If we didn't leapfrog anyone, that'd mean we're #5. Given a win over the #3 team, we very well may have leaped over SDSU or *possibly, but unlikely* Weber State. Our last two wins are better than anyone behind us, so it would seem very unlikely anyone caught us from behind in the last two games. Therefore, at this moment, we'd be a high of 3 and a low of 5, but probably 4.
We really need Weber to lose most this week coupled with a win over Portland State. That would probably ensure a 3... Although it is possible SDSU would stay in front of us, knocking us to 4. Jacksonville State beating Kennesaw may be a double-edged sword in that Jax St could win, but also then leapfrog us.
Now all that said, Eastern just needs to clobber Portland State on Friday and watch it play out Saturday.
If SDSU is ranked ahead of us, that will be a joke. At best, they end up with eight wins, their game against Iowa State was canceled and never rescheduled. They most likely would have lost that game as South Dakota State punted on their first possession and Iowa State scored on something like the third play. The game was then called due to weather after Iowa State scored. No way do they deserve to be ranked ahead of us
Best case scenario would be for Weber and Kennesaw to lose. If it’s only one of those teams, I think Weber losing would be best as I think the committee would give Eastern, a big sky champ, with only one FCS loss a top three seed.
The committee could also put ewu/Weber on opposite sides of the bracket as well as ndsu/SDSU, but after last year who knows. I think we are a lock for a top 4 seed, and we move up if kennesaw or Weber lose...