The Hornets will have their hands full this week as they travel to Ogden to face the defending Big Sky co-champs Weber State. When I looked at the schedule before the season started, I had this marked as a sure loss given the way WSU dominated last season. So far WSU has looked good at times, but they have not lived up to how I expected them to play. Given the way each team has played this season, I feel this game can go one of two ways: a complete steam rolling by WSU or a close one that can go to either team. WSU really picked up their game on both sides of the ball last week when they destroyed EWU. This is game can get ugly is WSU comes out and plays like they did last week, however, I feel the Hornets will have a chance if they do the following:
On Defense:
1: Take away the run. Treyvn Smith has had two back to back 100+ yard rushing games coming into this game. The WSU running game struggled early in the season (they opened with 2 FBS teams) and it took them some time to get it together. This will be a tall order for the Hornet defense who has given up 173 rushing yards per game. But I think they can do it as the defensive line has shown improvement as the week’s progress. Most notable was that PSU held WSU to only 89 rushing yards, so it can be done. WSU has a balanced attack and shutting down this aspect of their game leads me into my second point.
2: Get pressure on the WSU QB Higgins. WSU has given up 10 sacks so far so this season and the Hornets will need to keep the pressure on. In the 3 WSU losses, Higgins threw 10 INT’s. 10 INT’s compared to 2 fumbles in those losses. Even though our DB’s have gotten burned this season, I feel that they have the talent and ability to make some plays. They showed this against ISU. The WSU offense has lived and died by their QB this season, make them put the ball in his hands and then they will need to get pressure to force turnovers. No forced turnovers = no win for the Hornets, it’s as simple as that.
As a side note, WSU has had 46 penalties for 374 yards compared to Sac State’s 30 penalties for 243 yards. This team appears as it can get rattled at times so if the Hornets can get inside of their heads look for WSU to make some mistakes.
On Offense:
The Hornets will need to control the tempo and the ball more than anything. The more they can keep the WSU offense on the bench, the better chance they have at winning. The Hornets showed they can do this in the PSU game. It will require that they play flawless or close to it. They can not afford to turn the ball over with silly fumbles like they did last week against ISU. The Hornets will need to establish the run. WSU only has given up 135.8 rushing yard per game BUT have given up an average of 4.1 yard per carry. WSU has been pretty stout on the passing defense. They have allowed an average of 253.7 yards per game. The Hornets will need to neutralize the WSU DT Eastman. He had a huge game against EWU and the O-line will need to make sure they don’t let him control the line of scrimmage.
Special Teams:
WSU has averaged 15.6 yards per punt return and 25.4 yard per kick-off return compared to Sac State’s 0.6 yard per punt return and 23.0 yards per kick-off return. The coverage teams will need to be at its best to not allow WSU from making a big return. This is important in winning the field position battle. I feel that we have the edge with regard to field goals. Diniz is a perfect 6-6 on the year while WSU is an abysmal 7-14.
I’m going to go with the upset in this one: Sac State 24 – WSU 20. The Hornets spoil WSU’s homecoming as well as ruin their playoff chances. :twisted: