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The PAC/MWC Dominoes Begin to Fall

I mean, would you be this brash in troll squashing if you were worried about big plans actually coming to fruition? They do not seem worried. LOL
 
Chat GPT on a Pac-12 invite for '26...

As of now (June 2025), giving precise numerical odds for Sacramento State receiving an invitation to join the Pac-12 in 2026 is speculative, as it depends on several fluid factors. However, based on available data, conference realignment trends, institutional positioning, and media reports, a reasonable estimate can be provided:



📊​



🔍​


✅​


  1. Market Size (Strong)
    • Sacramento is the #20 U.S. media market, ahead of markets like Salt Lake City and Tucson.
    • The Pac-12 has lost key media markets (e.g., Los Angeles) and may seek to reestablish media reach.
  2. Facility Commitments (Rising)
    • Plans for a new football stadium (~25,000 seats) and major basketball upgrades.
    • Use of the Golden 1 Center (NBA arena) for basketball is a strong logistical plus.
  3. Institutional Fit
    • With 30,000+ students, Sac State is a large public university, fitting the academic and demographic profile of Pac-12 institutions.
  4. NIL and Local Support
    • Over $50 million in NIL funds raised via the “SAC 12” initiative shows serious commitment to competitiveness.
  5. Pac-12 Needs Members
    • If the Pac-12 rebuilds from its 2024 disintegration, it may need geographically logical and media-savvy members—especially if schools like Oregon State and Washington State stay and seek partners.

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  1. Football Brand and History (Weak)
    • Sac State is currently FCS. A move to FBS (let alone Power Conference level) is a major step with no precedent for immediate Pac-12 inclusion.
    • No deep national football history or major bowl appearances.
  2. Academic Reputation (Neutral)
    • While solid, Sac State does not hold AAU status, which some conferences (like the Big Ten and historically the Pac-12) prioritize.
  3. Other Candidates
    • The Pac-12 may target more established football brands transitioning from Group of Five programs: Boise State, San Diego State, UNLV, or SMU (though SMU joined the ACC).
    • Montana State, UC Davis, and North Dakota State are other academically solid FCS programs with better recent football records.
  4. Timing
    • 2026 is likely too soon for a full FBS transition unless plans are accelerated.


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  • Chance of a Pac-12 invite in 2026: ~15–25%
  • Chance of a Pac-12 invite later (2027–2030): ~30–40%, assuming successful FBS transition and athletic program growth.
 
Green Cookie Monster said:
Between Orr spouting 'best in the nation this, and best in the nation that' talking about the pull out bball bleachers in the new Union Nest and the brother spacking about embarrassing an FBS team, I think these guys better go 12-0 with all the air being blown out.

Elite 8, or better?????:unsure:

I agree, let’s win the first game and have dumptrucks at the stadium before getting cocky. Putting up 50 on somebody is irrelevant if they put up 51.
Click to expand...
Coach Marion was referring to his offense at UNLV put 50 on Fresno state last season. He wasn’t saying that sac state would put 50 on Fresno st.

I like Coach Marion common. Gotta speak w confidence in your trademark branded offense.
 
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