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Playoff Chances

P

PURPLEFORLIFE

Active member
Is there any hope? Weber still has two home games against NAU and Cal Poly. No matter, both quality opponents. If Weber wins, and MSU loses one game, I think they get an at large bid. Of course, if MSU wins out I think they will get it, but they have to play SAC and UM. Sac is playing better each week and getting more and more confidence, not saying they can beat MSU, especially in Bozeman, but the Bobcats are hurting right now. Also, Eastern, no matter what their fans are saying, if they end up in a tie with Weber automatically they would become the 3rd place Big Sky team. Would the NCAA recognize that? Also, the idiots in Cheney keep thinking that their DII win would help them. Even if they do win out, they only have 7 DI wins. NAU has the hardest road two tough road games and then a game at home against the Eagles.

I for one, if Weber doesn't get a bid, thinks that MSU is the best candidate for a bid. I don't want lowly Eastern getting into the playoffs. Especially since Weber beat them.
 
Well if the Bobcats have no prayer against the mighty Grizz, then Weber, if they win out, will be the most likely team from the Sky to get an invitation. Eastern is completely delusional even if they win out they still only have 7 DI wins, and they aren't going to beat NAU in Flagstaff. Even if they do, Weber owns the tie-breaker. Does that even matter though? Is it all about $$? I don't think the NCAA would have only one team, UM, from the West in the playoffs. Also, the Sky will get two bids, when was the last time they didn't?
 
As much as I hate to say it, the chances are slim to none, and slim may just very well be on a horse riding out of town as we speak. The reason I say that is because:

a) The griz will win the conference easily and get the auto-bid. They have three BSC games left, two of which are ISU and UNC and you know they won't lose those. The other one is us, and as much as I hate to admit it, they will probably beat us as well. I just don't see them losing the last three. Even if they finish 6-2 in conference and WSU finished 6-2, they will win the auto-bid by virtue of their direct win over you and probably have a better overall record. They pretty much hold all the tiebreakers over three of BSC playoff contenders (WSU, EWU, NAU) because they have beaten them head-to-head.

b) With four overall loses, it will be hard for WSU to get an at-large bid because there will be quite a few 8-3 teams out there. In fact, it's possible that a couple of those 8-3 teams will be right in our own back yard. Looking back, it may have been a very big mistake to schedule two FBS games in an eleven game season. Easy to get away with it when you play 12 games in a season.

But you never know, stranger things have been know to happen! MSU's playoff hopes are about as slim, as we need to win our last three, UM included. It will be a tough task as we are at PSU (they're not good, but we traditionally have not played well at PGE), home against Sac. State (they are really playing well as of late; will be a very tough game), and home to finish against UM (what do I say, it's the griz and we just don't beat the griz). But it's always fun to keep those fingers crossed and wish for the best. Good luck Wildcats!
 
I wish they would take into account of who was our first two opponents were and how close the games were.
 
Old Skool Cat said:
As much as I hate to say it, the chances are slim to none, and slim may just very well be on a horse riding out of town as we speak. The reason I say that is because:

a) The griz will win the conference easily and get the auto-bid. They have three BSC games left, two of which are ISU and UNC and you know they won't lose those. The other one is us, and as much as I hate to admit it, they will probably beat us as well. I just don't see them losing the last three. Even if they finish 6-2 in conference and WSU finished 6-2, they will win the auto-bid by virtue of their direct win over you and probably have a better overall record. They pretty much hold all the tiebreakers over three of BSC playoff contenders (WSU, EWU, NAU) because they have beaten them head-to-head.

b) With four overall loses, it will be hard for WSU to get an at-large bid because there will be quite a few 8-3 teams out there. In fact, it's possible that a couple of those 8-3 teams will be right in our own back yard. Looking back, it may have been a very big mistake to schedule two FBS games in an eleven game season. Easy to get away with it when you play 12 games in a season.

But you never know, stranger things have been know to happen! MSU's playoff hopes are about as slim, as we need to win our last three, UM included. It will be a tough task as we are at PSU (they're not good, but we traditionally have not played well at PGE), home against Sac. State (they are really playing well as of late; will be a very tough game), and home to finish against UM (what do I say, it's the griz and we just don't beat the griz). But it's always fun to keep those fingers crossed and wish for the best. Good luck Wildcats!
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I agree. Weber has virtually no shot at making the playoffs, and they have the Montana St loss to thank for it. In fact, my bet is the only Big Sky team to make it will be Montana. And before everyone jumps in and states that the Big Sky ALWAYS gets multiple bids, do a little homework before assuming that that will be the case this year. There's just too many good teams back east and too many teams that will only have 3 or less losses.
 
Well, Old School Cat, I for one will be cheering for you guys to beat the Grizz. At the moment, it looks like Cal-Poly will not get into the playoffs, and their conference might not get anyone in. That could leave a spot open for another BSC team. Here's hoping. :roll:
 
I think there is a slight chance because the Great West and Southland? are beating each other up pretty bad. Cental Arkansas, Mcnesse St, and Texas State all could lose multiple games (Central Ark isn't eligible either). Nobody from the Great West will get in, and the UNI conference isn't looking as solid as they once were. I just don't see the NCAA only having one Western team in the playoffs. But being 7-4 is quite the stretch.
 
talhadfoursteals said:
I think there is a slight chance because the Great West and Southland? are beating each other up pretty bad. Cental Arkansas, Mcnesse St, and Texas State all could lose multiple games (Central Ark isn't eligible either). Nobody from the Great West will get in, and the UNI conference isn't looking as solid as they once were. I just don't see the NCAA only having one Western team in the playoffs. But being 7-4 is quite the stretch.
Click to expand...

The one good thing you guys have going for you is that all 7 of your wins would come against Division 1 schools. That is always one of the unwritten qualifications the playoff committee looks at. I wouldn't exactly count you guys out; in 2006 in when we went, we were 7-4 with the all the wins against Division 1 teams, and the one against Colorado.
 
Old Skool Cat said:
talhadfoursteals said:
I think there is a slight chance because the Great West and Southland? are beating each other up pretty bad. Cental Arkansas, Mcnesse St, and Texas State all could lose multiple games (Central Ark isn't eligible either). Nobody from the Great West will get in, and the UNI conference isn't looking as solid as they once were. I just don't see the NCAA only having one Western team in the playoffs. But being 7-4 is quite the stretch.
Click to expand...

The one good thing you guys have going for you is that all 7 of your wins would come against Division 1 schools. That is always one of the unwritten qualifications the playoff committee looks at. I wouldn't exactly count you guys out; in 2006 in when we went, we were 7-4 with the all the wins against Division 1 teams, and the one against Colorado.
Click to expand...
I do think that if the Big Sky happens to get 2 bids (which is a big if) Weber has the best chance. Looking at the schedule, my predictions are that Weber finishes 7-4 (6-2), N Arizona finishes 6-5 (5-3), E Wash finishes 7-4 (5-3), and Montana St finishes 7-4 (5-3). If this is how it ended, and the SKy gets 1 at large, I think Weber gets it due to its 6-2 conference record and strength of schedule.
 
SWeberCat02 said:
Old Skool Cat said:
talhadfoursteals said:
I think there is a slight chance because the Great West and Southland? are beating each other up pretty bad. Cental Arkansas, Mcnesse St, and Texas State all could lose multiple games (Central Ark isn't eligible either). Nobody from the Great West will get in, and the UNI conference isn't looking as solid as they once were. I just don't see the NCAA only having one Western team in the playoffs. But being 7-4 is quite the stretch.
Click to expand...

The one good thing you guys have going for you is that all 7 of your wins would come against Division 1 schools. That is always one of the unwritten qualifications the playoff committee looks at. I wouldn't exactly count you guys out; in 2006 in when we went, we were 7-4 with the all the wins against Division 1 teams, and the one against Colorado.
Click to expand...
I do think that if the Big Sky happens to get 2 bids (which is a big if) Weber has the best chance. Looking at the schedule, my predictions are that Weber finishes 7-4 (6-2), N Arizona finishes 6-5 (5-3), E Wash finishes 7-4 (5-3), and Montana St finishes 7-4 (5-3). If this is how it ended, and the SKy gets 1 at large, I think Weber gets it due to its 6-2 conference record and strength of schedule.
Click to expand...

I would definitely agree with you.
 
Weber gets in with a lot of help. They must win out convincingly. MSU must lose.
Plus, teams from Midwest and Eastern conferences must lose to some teams they were not supposed to lose to.
Like in the movie Dumb and Dumber:

Lloyd: What are the chances of a guy like me ending up with a girl like you?
Mary: About 1 in a million.
Lloyd: So you're telling me there's a chance!
 
I for one want our football playing for something... A possible playoff invitation is just what they need to keep them focused and working hard.
 
An article from the DNews discussing Weber's playoff chances...
http://www.deseretnews.com/article/705341968/Weber-State-football--notebook-Not-in-control-of-own-playoff-shot.html
 
If there is no chance for the playoffs might as well take Higgins and Smith out for the rest the season. Then we can see how Mike Hoke and Bo Bolen can do in the final two games. Nothing against Higgins or Smith and I know Higgins will be back but might as well see how the others are going to do after their gone.
 
humbleweberfan said:
If there is no chance for the playoffs might as well take Higgins and Smith out for the rest the season. Then we can see how Mike Hoke and Bo Bolen can do in the final two games. Nothing against Higgins or Smith and I know Higgins will be back but might as well see how the others are going to do after their gone.
Click to expand...
Whats the point of that? Bolen will be gone for the next 2 years. And if you want nobody to show up then go ahead and make it look like you threw in the towel.
In short, Not a good idea.
 
I'd like to see Hoke... Of course, not replace Higs in the starting lineup, but at least see what he has to give. He's going to be a pretty good QB. So will Hancock, if he ever gets the chance. There is also a kid on his mission from Springville, who is suppose to be pretty damn good too. So, I'm pretty sure Weber will be okay in the QB department for the next 6 to 8 years.
Also, no matter what everyone else says, there is always a chance. Strange things happen all the time. The best thing Weber can do is play their best and win. Two good, convincing game, might be enough, especially, if some teams lose, to get an invite. Weber is only, according to the polls, three spots out.
 
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