2017 FCS Playoff Projection 10/29

[the dan]

Elon losing to New Hampshire would help the Big Sky get a seeded team, but may also prevent Montana or EWU from getting in since it would enable New Hampshire to make the field. Elon hasn’t won a game by more than 1 score this year, should be a tough one for them.

 

[the dan]

Here are a few Scenarios I see happening, (this is all speculation, Weber has to win out after all)


Scenario #1

1. SUU wins out, get's autobid and # 7 or 8 seed
2. Weber wins out, get's #1 at large, hosts San Diego in Round 1
3. Eastern wins out, gets #2 at large, plays @ MVFC or Southland team in Round 1
4. Montana wins out, gets #3 at large, plays home to some lower ranked east team, (Like a Kennesaw or Monmouth) (Montana fills their stadium, is it right they get a home game? no but that's the way the NCAA plays their cards.)

5. Round 2 will be a rematch with Weber and SUU
6. Eastern should they win will play @ South Dakota State
7. Montana should they win will play @ North Dakota State

Scenario #2
1. Weber wins out gets auto bid and #7 or 8 seed
2. NAU wins out, gets #1 at large, plays @ Eastern Washington in round 1
3. SUU goes 1-1, gets #2 at large, hosts San Diego in Round 1
4. Eastern Wins out, gets #3 at large and hosts NAU round 1 (Will get home game due to larger crowds)

5. Round 2 will either be a rematch between Weber and SUU, or Weber will host NAU/Eastern winner.
6. Eastern/NAU winner or SUU will either play @ Weber or @ North Dakota State / South Dakota State Round 2


All I know is one thing that would chap SUU's kakis would be if they lost to Davis and had to beat NAU to get in and in doing so awarded us the Big Sky Title. I would LOVE this scenario.

If NAU wins out I think they will get the autobid.

Weber will get it because of their higher ranking and strength of schedule, plus they would have one less loss. Thats assuming both Weber and NAU win out

I think Jacks is right because they would have beaten SUU and Weber lost to SUU, assuming SUU finishes in third place.

Yes but we beat Montana who beat NAU. I think we would be co-champions with NAU if we both win out ?

 

[SWeberCat02]

Here are a few Scenarios I see happening, (this is all speculation, Weber has to win out after all)


Scenario #1

1. SUU wins out, get's autobid and # 7 or 8 seed
2. Weber wins out, get's #1 at large, hosts San Diego in Round 1
3. Eastern wins out, gets #2 at large, plays @ MVFC or Southland team in Round 1
4. Montana wins out, gets #3 at large, plays home to some lower ranked east team, (Like a Kennesaw or Monmouth) (Montana fills their stadium, is it right they get a home game? no but that's the way the NCAA plays their cards.)

5. Round 2 will be a rematch with Weber and SUU
6. Eastern should they win will play @ South Dakota State
7. Montana should they win will play @ North Dakota State

Scenario #2
1. Weber wins out gets auto bid and #7 or 8 seed
2. NAU wins out, gets #1 at large, plays @ Eastern Washington in round 1
3. SUU goes 1-1, gets #2 at large, hosts San Diego in Round 1
4. Eastern Wins out, gets #3 at large and hosts NAU round 1 (Will get home game due to larger crowds)

5. Round 2 will either be a rematch between Weber and SUU, or Weber will host NAU/Eastern winner.
6. Eastern/NAU winner or SUU will either play @ Weber or @ North Dakota State / South Dakota State Round 2


All I know is one thing that would chap SUU's kakis would be if they lost to Davis and had to beat NAU to get in and in doing so awarded us the Big Sky Title. I would LOVE this scenario.

If NAU wins out I think they will get the autobid.

Weber will get it because of their higher ranking and strength of schedule, plus they would have one less loss. Thats assuming both Weber and NAU win out

I think Jacks is right because they would have beaten SUU and Weber lost to SUU, assuming SUU finishes in third place.

Yes but we beat Montana who beat NAU. I think we would be co-champions with NAU if we both win out ?

All teams tied for 1st will officially be considered co-champs. But the conference only gets one auto-bid, so the tiebreakers are for the auto-bid only.

 

[n.ogdencat]

Only two of the three teams can win out. Someone is going to lose between NAU and SUU on the final week of play. To me, best case scenario for the Cats would be an NAU win, but even then I believe that NAU will be awarded the auto-bid. Does that mean that they will be awarded a Seed? NO, just the auto-bid.

Regardless, NAU has two tough games to end the season. They have MSU at their place this week and finish at SUU. SUU travels to Davis this week and then hosts NAU this week. Weber, well, we all know we have PSU this week and then get ISU at home to finish the season. If we are lucky we see both NAU and SUU losing this week, which I doubt either do.

No matter, Weber has to take care of business in Portland this week.

 

[SWWeatherCat]

My prediction is that it will end up like 2015.

2017- WSU #6, SUU host, EWU/NAU road

Unless SUU loses they get the auto bid, and very unlikely Weber would get a seed over them in that case.

I really believe that Davis has a great chance of beating SUU, at Davis. I don't even think it would be a huge upset. Davis is good, and capable of beating anybody in the BSC. Plus, they have been quite hot as of late. Plus, SUU didn't do well the last time they traveled to the great state of California. I'll be checking in on that game Saturday.

After spending some time analyzing who and how UCD has played at home and who and how SUU has played on the road I still maintain SUU will come away with the W, and think a Davis win would most certainly be an upset. My guess is 32-24 SUU. As for "the last time (SUU) traveled to the (?great) state of California," it was a classic trap game against a very decent SAC team after a huge, emotional win over Northern Iowa. SUU has played better opponents on the road than UCD has played at home.

With 10 minutes left in the 1st half, SUU up 21-0; unfortunately, I believe this one is already over.

 

[oldrunner]

My prediction is that it will end up like 2015.

2017- WSU #6, SUU host, EWU/NAU road

Unless SUU loses they get the auto bid, and very unlikely Weber would get a seed over them in that case.

I really believe that Davis has a great chance of beating SUU, at Davis. I don't even think it would be a huge upset. Davis is good, and capable of beating anybody in the BSC. Plus, they have been quite hot as of late. Plus, SUU didn't do well the last time they traveled to the great state of California. I'll be checking in on that game Saturday.

After spending some time analyzing who and how UCD has played at home and who and how SUU has played on the road I still maintain SUU will come away with the W, and think a Davis win would most certainly be an upset. My guess is 32-24 SUU. As for "the last time (SUU) traveled to the (?great) state of California," it was a classic trap game against a very decent SAC team after a huge, emotional win over Northern Iowa. SUU has played better opponents on the road than UCD has played at home.

With 10 minutes left in the 1st half, SUU up 21-0; unfortunately, I believe this one is already over.

The UCD defense is laying down. I really thought they would put up a better fight. It's coming down to the last week of play.

 

[SWWeatherCat]

Wow, with 0:28 left in 1st half, NAU runs 75 yards for a TD to go up on MSU 16-14. The extra point is blocked and returned by MSU for the 2 pt score and tying it 16-16 at half.

 

[SWWeatherCat]

Elon losing to New Hampshire would help the Big Sky get a seeded team, but may also prevent Montana or EWU from getting in since it would enable New Hampshire to make the field. Elon hasn’t won a game by more than 1 score this year, should be a tough one for them.

New Hampshire 16 Elon 6.

 

[SWWeatherCat]

MSU certainly had their chances at NAU. I wasn't a fan of going for the 2PT conversions and the win-- oh well. SUU has their way with Davis. The Thunderturds are legit and my $$$ is on them next week in Cedar City. I sure hope Weber has focus this week, practices and plans well for the Southeastern Spuds.

 

[oldrunner]

MSU certainly had their chances at NAU. I wasn't a fan of going for the 2PT conversions and the win-- oh well. SUU has their way with Davis. The Thunderturds are legit and my $$$ is on them next week in Cedar City. I sure hope Weber has focus this week, practices and plans well for the Southeastern Spuds.

I think you are right. Of course, anything can happen in any game. We just need to take care of our own business. If we do, we can be no worse than co-champs.

 

[oldrunner]

I am very disappointed in UC Avis. I'm not going to honor them by including anything like a D when I refer to them until they prove otherwise. Avis's efense was awful. If they had any kind of efense at all, the Hawkins offence would win them some more games.

SUU had just enough defense to get the W. Now I have mixed emotions about who I want to win in Cedar City next week. However, I do know who I want to win in Ogden. Let's win and win big. :clap: :clap:

 

[SWeberCat02]

https://m.herosports.com/fcs/football-fcs-bracket-seeds-1st-round-games-november-11-2017-ajaj

Has SUU with a seed, Weber hosting San Diego

 

[DeeWildcatTailgater]

https://m.herosports.com/fcs/football-fcs-bracket-seeds-1st-round-games-november-11-2017-ajaj

Has SUU with a seed, Weber hosting San Diego

He is going to seed WIU which has 3 FCS losses and just forget about 4th ranked SHSU with only one loss total? Nice try but he must be a MVC fan. Also, when Wofford loses to South Carolina, Weber will get the 8th seed with SUU at 7 assuming SUU wins.

 

[SWeberCat02]

https://m.herosports.com/fcs/football-fcs-bracket-seeds-1st-round-games-november-11-2017-ajaj

Has SUU with a seed, Weber hosting San Diego

He is going to seed WIU which has 3 FCS losses and just forget about 4th ranked SHSU with only one loss total? Nice try but he must be a MVC fan. Also, when Wofford loses to South Carolina, Weber will get the 8th seed with SUU at 7 assuming SUU wins.

Also has Weber/San Diego winner playing SUU, which can't happen since Weber and SUU played during the regular season and that would be SUU's first playoff game.

 

[oldrunner]

The BSC could end up with two teams with only one loss, and 3 to 4 teams with two losses. Like I said before, some teams on the bubble are going to be mightily disappointed. :yikes:

 

[SWWeatherCat]

https://m.herosports.com/fcs/football-fcs-bracket-seeds-1st-round-games-november-11-2017-ajaj

Has SUU with a seed, Weber hosting San Diego

He is going to seed WIU which has 3 FCS losses and just forget about 4th ranked SHSU with only one loss total? Nice try but he must be a MVC fan. Also, when Wofford loses to South Carolina, Weber will get the 8th seed with SUU at 7 assuming SUU wins.

Also has Weber/San Diego winner playing SUU, which can't happen since Weber and SUU played during the regular season and that would be SUU's first playoff game.

Reading through the article it sounds like he thinks very highly of the "Valley."

I noticed the Weber@SUU oversight too, and as for Weber hosting SD, there is this, "But we don't have the bids in front of us, so we'll say "vs." instead of "at" for now."

 

[PurpleBlood]

If Western Illinois gets a seed over us, I will be so mad! They have not beaten anyone ranked above 20 and they had 3 chances against top teams to show they are a top 8 team, but lost all 3. Strength of schedule doesn't matter if you lose to all the really good teams on that schedule. It does come into play when you get one top win or have a similar record to someone with a lesser strength of schedule. If the committee looks at wins instead of losses, Weber has the better wins.

Weber has done everything to show they deserve a seed and has only lost one FCS game and it was against a team that will be seeded. I'm hoping the commitee has half a brain and doesn't try to get cute with their MVC bias by seeding a 3 loss team. Last I checked the MVC only had one extra win against the BIg Sky and SDSU barely beat an average MSU team. Also their, "depth teams," Northern Iowa and Illinois State, lost to the Big Sky.

The committee only wants one team out West to be seeded so they can keep San Diego close, but it's time to make a team come out West and play for a change.

Assuming we handle business this week and Wofford loses to South Carolina, the only way Weber doesn't get a seed is if they get SCREWED and one of the these teams gets a seed over us.

Does it matter that Wofford barely beat crappy teams week after week including a 3 pt thumping of 1-9 Gardner Webb and several 1 pt/overtime wins? Being seeded should mean your a championship and contender anyone who watched Wofford would know they are not. Also, does it matter Stoney Brook only beat one team with a winning record?

 

[n.ogdencat]

Best path to a seed? NAU beats SUU this week and we take care of business against ISU. If that happens, Weber gets a seed.

 

[WILDCAT]

Best path to a seed? NAU beats SUU this week and we take care of business against ISU. If that happens, Weber gets a seed.

I think this is accurate, I also think it is possible for both Weber and SUU to get seeds but not probable.

I have seen several different brackets. One has us playing NAU @ home, one has us Playing @ UNI and the other has us hosting San Diego.

 

[MrLevski]

I would love a home playoff game--preferably against someone who doesn't normally come to Stewart Stadium. But even if it was a game against NAU, I'd attend and cheer on the Wildcats to victory!