JasonEWU said:
Unfortunately I have seen this story from EWU too many times. They show up on the FBS stage and play GREAT. Then the next week fall flat vs a tough FCS opponent. I think NDSU Defense is much better than WSU, espeically the front 7. Our young, inexperienced OL will have their hands full all game, and Gubrud's pocket wont be as luxurious as it was vs WSU. I say, 34-17 Bison.
Would you really call last year against UNI falling flat? They were within three points with an injured Kupp, and a less effective QB, and aside from a late game INT, in a good position to win. I can see what you are saying at times, but this is a different team. All this stuff about "historically" does not apply. I don't care they are playing in a dome, have supposedly not fared well after an emotional win, or anything else. 2014, after losing a close game to UW, we 52 on MSU in an incredible game! I would definitely not have considered that game "falling flat". The team was fully invested. They went on to win four straight after that as well, three of them with our back up QB.
After beating Oregon State, we didn't fall flat the next week. They beat Western Oregon 41 - 14. Then struggled against Toledo. Did they have a Beaver hangover?
2012, beat UI, play a close game against the Cougs, then rattle off five straight wins.
I don't know where you are coming from, but from what I can see, it's not accurate.
I am not concerned at all with the energy EWU will bring to this game. I think it will be within one score if everyone stays healthy throughout the game. I think the Bison style could really create trouble for us if they are able to impose their will upon us. I usually like it when EWU defers to receive until the second half, but I think in this one, chances are whoever has the ball first will be able to establish the tone of the game. I don't think the Bison D will be able to stop all of our weapons. In most of our games against the incredible Valley defenses, our offense has still produced (38 vs NDSU in 2010, 51 vs ISUr in 2012, 41 vs SDSU in 2013, 46 vs ISUr in 2014, and 35 vs UNI last year). The lone anomaly, and maybe what is in your mind is in 2011, when we lost to UW, and then only scored 17 against a weak USD team.
The challenge will be more regarding them plodding along with a slow ball control gameplan that doesn't allow our offense to get in rhythm, or give us enough scoring opportunities. Additionally, our offense must be mistake free, or they will still be able to slow down the game. I think our defense will do good enough to keep us in the game. I think this is going to be a great game for even the casual football fan, a clash of two different philosophies. I predict 38 - 35 NDSU, with the edge being that we are still young on the O-line, and they have veteran players there on the best defense in the FCS, and they are playing at home. As with WSU, my greatest concern with our non-con games is that we stay healthy, because there is no doubt we will be in the mix with the BSC, and I think the upside of this team learning as the season progresses is going to produce a force to reckon with by the time playoffs arrive.